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Amed SK v Erzurum BB

2026-08-16 18:30 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

8 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amed SK (Local)

Prediction 44.87%2.23fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -4.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.36%44.87%44.87%44.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.002.1251.55%49.57%50.00%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Erzurum BB (Visit)

Prediction 28.78%3.47fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.64%28.78%28.78%29.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.103.103.3035.09%32.26%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.35%3.80fair odd
EV -5.14%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%26.35%26.35%27.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.403.6032.26%29.68%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (8 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.82%EV -4.88%E -2.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -5.02%E -1.52%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%EV -5.14%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 15:39
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.76%EV -6.68%E -3.21%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -6.46%E -1.99%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 15:39
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.02%E -3.91%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -7.89%E -2.47%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 15:43
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.77%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-28 15:39
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.77%E -3.48%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.41%E -3.06%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-28 15:38
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -10.27%E -5.13%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-28 15:40
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 44.26%EV -12.51%E -6.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -13.65%E -4.55%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.97%EV -15.68%E -4.90%K -7.13%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-28 15:39
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.36%EV -12.96%E -6.68%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.51%EV -17.97%E -6.30%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.13%EV -18.31%E -5.91%K -8.72%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-28 15:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88%168.5%2026-07-28 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88%168.5%2026-07-28 15:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.18I 84.75%NM 31.56%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.88%168.5%2026-07-28 15:39