Language:English
Amed SK v Erzurum BB
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Amed SK (Local)
Prediction 43.59%2.29fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.44%43.62%43.47%44.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.122.122.2048.78%47.07%47.17%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Erzurum BB (Visit)
Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd
EV +0.748%
Edge +0.205%
Kelly +0.282%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%27.73%27.41%30.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.343.303.6532.79%29.93%30.30%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.81%3.47fair odd
EV +1.12%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.447%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.51
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%28.65%29.12%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.203.5133.33%30.82%31.25%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amed SK (Local): 43.59%; Erzurum BB (Visit): 27.60%; Draw: 28.81%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.47. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.51, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%EV -5.41%E -2.49%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -3.12%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV +1.12%E +0.320%K +0.447%G +0.005% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +0.834%E +0.238%K +0.334%G +0.003% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.18%E -0.345%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.18%E -0.345%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 18:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.18%E -0.345%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -15.81%E -5.18%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -13.05%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -4.98%E -2.28%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV +0.748%E +0.205%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.11%E -3.24%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 18:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.53%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-16 18:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.73% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61% | 2.3% | 2026-08-16 18:25 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.