默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Amed SK v Erzurum BB

开赛时间: 2026-08-16 18:30 UTC

最终结果: Amed SK 3–0 Erzurum BB

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Amed SK (主队)

预测 43.59%2.29公平赔率
EV -4.11%
优势 -1.87%
Kelly -3.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.44%43.62%43.47%44.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.122.122.2048.78%47.07%47.17%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Erzurum BB (客队)

预测 27.60%3.62公平赔率
EV +0.748%
优势 +0.205%
Kelly +0.282%
增长率 +0.002%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布
26.33%27.73%27.41%30.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.053.343.303.6532.79%29.93%30.30%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 28.81%3.47公平赔率
EV +1.12%
优势 +0.320%
Kelly +0.447%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 3.51

博彩公司预测分布
27.04%28.65%29.12%29.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.243.203.5133.33%30.82%31.25%28.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Amed SK (主队):43.59%;Erzurum BB (客队):27.60%;平局:28.81%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.47。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.51,对应+1.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%EV -5.41%E -2.49%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV -3.12%E -0.888%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.64%EV +1.12%E +0.320%K +0.447%G +0.005%3.1%2026-08-16 18:19
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.11%E -1.87%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV +0.834%E +0.238%K +0.334%G +0.003%5.3%2026-08-16 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.18%E -0.345%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.18%E -0.345%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:14
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.97%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.79%EV -1.18%E -0.345%K -0.487%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 18:15
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -15.81%E -5.18%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 18:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -13.05%E -4.14%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -3.49%E -1.04%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -4.93%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 18:24
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -4.98%E -2.28%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV +0.748%E +0.205%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-16 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -10.64%E -5.19%K -10.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -14.43%E -4.66%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -6.37%E -1.96%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.02%EV -7.59%E -3.58%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.82%EV -3.94%E -1.13%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:20
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:10
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:10
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.15%E -1.81%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.81%E -2.44%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 18:19
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -3.39%E -0.969%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.61%EV -10.11%E -3.24%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 18:25
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.29%E -2.92%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.29%E -3.17%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 18:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.91%E -2.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -9.34%E -4.49%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -7.53%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -10.69%E -3.45%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 18:25
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.47%E -4.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -11.67%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -13.57%E -4.52%K -6.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-16 18:10
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-08-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 44.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.32%0.3%2026-08-16 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-08-16 18:25
Smarkets◎2.24I 44.64%NM 43.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%2.3%2026-08-16 18:25