Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amed SK v Besiktas JK

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 17:00 UTC

Final: Amed SK 3–2 Besiktas JK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amed SK (Local)

Prediction 24.73%4.04fair odd
EV +7.58%
Edge +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
Growth +0.171%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.80%24.58%24.79%26.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.843.844.3529.41%26.07%26.04%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visit)

Prediction 50.21%1.99fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.96%50.42%50.11%54.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.831.831.9257.47%54.62%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.06%3.99fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.344%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.01%25.00%25.10%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.713.753.9529.41%26.98%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amed SK (Local): 24.73%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 50.21%; Draw: 25.06%. For Amed SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.58%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%EV +7.58%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.171%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -1.02%E -0.257%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.60%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.99%EV -3.77%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:57
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:58
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -0.088%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -4.02%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -0.335%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -0.335%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.08%E -0.269%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.08%E -0.269%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:55
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.22%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.13%EV -6.53%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:05
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:59
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -12.63%E -7.26%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -5.03%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.78%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 16:49
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:00
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 16:49
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.38%EV -12.04%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:49
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 16:49
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 16:54
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.26%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 16:55
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:59
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 15:04
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:05
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 15:55
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -12.21%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.21%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.10%EV -9.03%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:03
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -10.63%E -5.97%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 16:49
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 16:58
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -15.92%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.23%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-09-20 16:54
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-20 16:55
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-20 16:55