L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Amed SK v Besiktas JK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 17:00 UTC

Score final : Amed SK 3–2 Besiktas JK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Amed SK (Local)

Prévision 24.73%4.04cote équitable
EV +7.58%
Avantage +1.74%
Kelly +2.26%
Croissance +0.171%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.80%24.58%24.79%26.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.843.844.3529.41%26.07%26.04%22.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Besiktas JK (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.21%1.99cote équitable
EV -3.60%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -3.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.96%50.42%50.11%54.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.831.831.9257.47%54.62%54.64%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.06%3.99cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.257%
Kelly -0.344%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.01%25.00%25.10%26.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.713.753.9529.41%26.98%26.67%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Amed SK (Local) : 24.73% ; Besiktas JK (Visiteur) : 50.21% ; Match nul : 25.06%. Pour Amed SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.04. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.35, soit une espérance positive de +7.58%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.80%EV +7.58%E +1.74%K +2.26%G +0.171%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -1.02%E -0.257%K -0.344%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-19 14:01
1xBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.41%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.60%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.99%EV -3.77%E -0.982%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 16:57
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
betPARX🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 16:24
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV +1.40%E +0.341%K +0.450%G +0.006%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-20 16:58
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -0.088%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.85%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.23%EV -4.02%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-20 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -0.335%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 23.61%EV -0.335%E -0.083%K -0.111%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.99%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.40%EV -2.27%E -0.582%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -1.08%E -0.269%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 16:55
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -1.08%E -0.269%K -0.359%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 16:55
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-20 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
LiveScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Virgin Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -3.55%E -0.910%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-20 16:24
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.22%EV -4.29%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.13%EV -6.53%E -1.75%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:05
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.56%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.56%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 16:59
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -4.79%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.67%EV -12.63%E -7.26%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -5.03%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.53%EV -7.61%E -4.14%K -9.06%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.26%EV -7.78%E -2.11%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 16:49
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 16:00
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 16:24
Betsson🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.44%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.40%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -11.04%E -3.11%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 16:49
NordicBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -5.61%E -2.98%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.38%EV -12.04%E -3.43%K -4.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 16:49
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 16:49
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -6.02%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 16:54
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -7.26%E -1.94%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -14.80%E -4.35%K -6.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 16:55
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 15:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.10%E -2.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-20 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 15:59
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -8.50%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -4.60%E -2.42%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.33%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 16:00
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -9.73%E -2.67%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -3.60%E -1.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 15:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.11%E -3.27%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -4.77%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 15:04
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.12%E -4.43%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-20 15:05
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 15:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 15:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.97%E -3.05%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 15:55
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -12.21%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 15:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -12.21%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.11%E -3.84%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.10%EV -9.03%E -2.49%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:03
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.21%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -10.63%E -5.97%K -13.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.29%E -3.51%K -4.92%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 16:49
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.62%E -5.35%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -6.03%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 16:58
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -13.44%E -3.84%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.35%EV -12.13%E -6.93%K -16.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -9.79%E -2.72%K -3.76%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-20 16:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -14.68%E -4.25%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -6.61%E -3.55%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.28%E -1.97%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 15:04
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -15.92%E -4.68%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.17%EV -8.62%E -4.74%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.52%EV -8.53%E -2.34%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.23%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.49%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.29%0.1%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-09-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%0.7%2026-09-20 16:54
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-09-20 16:55
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-20 16:55