Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 2.82
assuming max odds 3.64
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Amed SK (Local): 38.39%; Basaksehir (Visit): 34.62%; Draw: 26.99%. For Amed SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.605. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.600, with an expected value of -0.181%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.25%EV -0.564%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.02%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-09-13 05:51 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.38%E -0.845%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -3.37%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-13 16:26 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.19%EV -5.50%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -1.75%E -0.480%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.83%E -0.786%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-13 05:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 10:01 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 10:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-13 10:01 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-13 05:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:36 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-13 16:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -4.79%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-13 05:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 05:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-13 12:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 05:26 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 14:46 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 14:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-13 14:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-13 05:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-13 05:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.24%EV -6.32%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.58%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.07%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-13 13:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -6.19%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-13 06:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-13 07:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.88%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-13 16:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-13 05:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-13 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -8.96%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-13 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.77%EV -8.24%E -3.45%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.62%E -4.26%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-13 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-13 16:51 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.99%EV -9.04%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 05:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-13 05:26 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -10.93%E -4.71%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.50%EV -11.04%E -4.29%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-13 09:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-13 13:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-13 06:46 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-13 16:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.3% | 2026-09-13 16:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56% | 0.8% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.37% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.13% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 07:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-09-13 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37% | 1.5% | 2026-09-13 16:46 |