The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Amed SK v Basaksehir

2026-09-13 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Amed SK (Local)

Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV -0.084%
Edge -0.030%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.85%35.37%35.72%37.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.602.602.8041.67%38.41%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Basaksehir (Visit)

Prediction 37.03%2.70fair odd
EV +0.361%
Edge +0.133%
Kelly +0.211%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.15%37.32%36.91%40.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.442.502.7147.62%40.90%40.00%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd
EV -1.79%
Edge -0.496%
Kelly -0.687%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.30%27.31%27.37%28.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.383.403.6031.75%29.55%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Amed SK (Local): 35.68%; Basaksehir (Visit): 37.03%; Draw: 27.28%. For Basaksehir (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.71, producing a positive expected value of +0.361%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -6.86%E -2.63%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.15%EV +0.361%E +0.133%K +0.211%G +0.001%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -8.33%E -2.48%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 17:35
1xBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.17%EV -0.750%E -0.280%K -0.446%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.93%EV -5.33%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-07 17:55
Betsson🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.61%EV -12.22%E -4.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.61%EV -12.22%E -4.97%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.58%EV -3.71%E -1.43%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.88%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-07 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.17%EV -4.45%E -1.73%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.94%EV -8.88%E -2.66%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 17:50
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -1.79%E -0.496%K -0.687%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 17:05
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -3.65%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-07 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -6.51%E -2.48%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 17:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 17:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 17:06
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 16:36
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-07 16:30
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.33%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.33%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -11.33%E -3.49%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-07 17:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -14.36%E -5.98%K -10.26%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -7.42%E -2.97%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-07 16:35
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:10
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.51%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 17:04
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -9.27%E -3.78%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-07 17:04
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.12%E -4.63%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-07 17:04
GTbets🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.26%EV -2.22%E -0.812%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.30%EV -2.60%E -0.729%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 16:35
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -11.86%E -4.98%K -8.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-07 17:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -0.084%E -0.030%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -12.97%E -5.52%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 16:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -0.084%E -0.030%K -0.047%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.62%EV -13.34%E -5.70%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-07 16:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.82%E -6.44%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-07 17:06
Betclic (FR)🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 32.85%EV -2.94%E -1.08%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.07%EV -17.41%E -7.81%K -14.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-07 16:31
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -7.22%E -2.78%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -18.53%E -8.42%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-07 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -18.53%E -8.42%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.31%EV -12.70%E -3.97%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-07 17:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.51%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.89%EV -22.23%E -10.59%K -20.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.60%EV -14.06%E -4.46%K -6.54%G +0.000%19.4%2026-09-07 16:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 32.99%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.34%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.67%16.6%2026-09-07 16:35