Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Amed SK v Basaksehir

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 16:59 UTC

Score final : Amed SK 5–0 Basaksehir

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Amed SK (Local)

Prévision 38.39%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.181%
Avantage -0.069%
Kelly -0.113%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.01%38.33%38.39%39.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.462.452.6044.44%40.60%40.82%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Basaksehir (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.62%2.89cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.845%
Kelly -1.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.43%34.66%34.57%36.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.482.642.632.8240.32%37.81%38.10%35.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.99%3.70cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -0.662%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.24%27.01%27.04%27.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.403.6431.25%29.32%29.41%27.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Amed SK (Local) : 38.39% ; Basaksehir (Visiteur) : 34.62% ; Match nul : 26.99%. Pour Amed SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.605. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.600, pour une espérance de -0.181% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -0.181%E -0.069%K -0.113%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 16:40
GTbets🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.25%EV -0.564%E -0.218%K -0.355%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.73%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.02%EV -3.64%E -1.02%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 05:51
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.59%EV -3.64%E -1.45%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.35%EV -2.38%E -0.845%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.06%EV -3.37%E -0.941%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-13 16:26
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.19%EV -5.50%E -2.01%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.39%EV -1.75%E -0.480%K -0.662%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 16:46
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.34%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -2.83%E -0.786%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 05:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:01
BetOnline.ag🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:00
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.74%EV -5.15%E -1.88%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-13 10:01
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 05:30
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:36
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:36
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.16%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.45%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.39%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:40
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -4.02%E -1.61%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.30%EV -14.15%E -5.71%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 16:36
Codere (IT)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.92%EV -4.79%E -1.93%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.83%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 05:25
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 05:25
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 05:26
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:46
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:46
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:46
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-13 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 05:10
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -5.94%E -2.42%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-13 05:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.24%EV -6.32%E -2.59%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.95%EV -7.58%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.07%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 13:01
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.11%EV -6.71%E -2.76%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.17%EV -6.19%E -2.28%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.72%EV -9.85%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 06:14
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 07:16
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.49%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 34.34%EV -6.88%E -2.56%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-13 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-13 05:10
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 13:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 13:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.42%EV -8.96%E -3.41%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.86%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 16:46
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.67%EV -7.86%E -3.27%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.51%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 16:15
Betsson🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.77%EV -8.24%E -3.45%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.57%EV -4.46%E -1.62%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -8.63%E -3.62%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.42%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -13.62%E -4.26%K -6.19%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 16:51
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.32%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.99%EV -9.04%E -2.68%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 05:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.78%E -4.16%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 05:26
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.22%EV -10.93%E -4.71%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.50%EV -11.04%E -4.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.28%EV -12.28%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-13 09:20
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.78%EV -11.70%E -5.09%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.98%EV -11.73%E -4.60%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 06:46
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -13.62%E -6.05%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -9.58%E -2.86%K -4.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.3%2026-09-13 16:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.46%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.98%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.56%0.8%2026-09-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.37%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-09-13 16:55
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-09-13 07:50
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-09-13 16:55
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.19%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.45%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-09-13 16:46