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Alanyaspor v Kocaelispor

2026-10-23 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alanyaspor (Local)

Prediction 47.26%2.12fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.23%47.37%47.26%47.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.921.952.0756.18%52.01%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kocaelispor (Visit)

Prediction 23.51%4.25fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.757%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.81%24.48%23.51%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.893.924.1229.85%25.70%25.48%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.22%3.42fair odd
EV +10.46%
Edge +2.77%
Kelly +3.76%
Growth +0.394%

assuming max odds 3.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.59%28.15%29.22%29.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.193.203.7834.48%31.37%31.25%26.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alanyaspor (Local): 47.26%; Kocaelispor (Visit): 23.51%; Draw: 29.22%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.78, producing a positive expected value of +10.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.67%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -21.23%E -6.34%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.59%EV +10.46%E +2.77%K +3.76%G +0.394%7.6%2026-10-16 17:15
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.67%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -21.23%E -6.34%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.59%EV +10.46%E +2.77%K +3.76%G +0.394%7.6%2026-10-16 17:20
1xBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.91%EV -2.17%E -1.05%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.57%EV -3.12%E -0.757%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.52%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-16 17:25
Unibet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.84%E -4.02%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -3.59%E -0.876%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-16 17:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.42%E -3.24%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.12%E -1.80%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-16 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -10.20%E -5.37%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.62%EV -10.20%E -5.37%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.20%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.18%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-16 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 47.75%EV -10.67%E -5.65%K -11.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-16 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-16 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.65%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.97%EV -8.29%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.37%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-16 17:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.76%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -15.35%E -4.26%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -10.87%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-16 17:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.97%EV -11.62%E -6.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.55%EV -12.29%E -3.30%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.48%EV -12.92%E -4.33%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-16 17:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 47.97%EV -15.87%E -8.92%K -20.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.08%EV -13.00%E -3.51%K -4.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.95%EV -13.79%E -4.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%17.1%2026-10-16 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 46.23%EV -13.98%E -7.68%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.75%EV -20.05%E -5.90%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.02%EV -15.26%E -5.26%K -8.03%G +0.000%18.8%2026-10-16 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Arbitrage (20 combinations) +0.97%1xBet 2.07 (48.8%) / 1xBet 4.12 (24.5%) / NordicBet 3.78 (26.7%)Show all 20 combinations
Alanyaspor (Local)Kocaelispor (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.8%)1xBet🎯 4.12 (24.5%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.973%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.8%)1xBet🎯 4.12 (24.5%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.973%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Unibet🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Unibet🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Grosvenor🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Casumo🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)TABtouch🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)TABtouch🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Unibet (NL)🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)betPARX🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)betPARX🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Svenska Spel🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)Unibet (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%
1xBet🎯 2.07 (48.7%)ATG (SE)🎯 4.10 (24.6%)Betsson🎯 3.78 (26.7%)+0.853%