L’École des cotes

Alanyaspor v Kayserispor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

Score final : Alanyaspor 3–1 Kayserispor

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alanyaspor (Local)

Prévision 36.76%2.72cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -0.980%
Kelly -1.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%36.81%36.70%38.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.86%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Kayserispor (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.82%2.79cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.807%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.53%35.80%35.93%37.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.602.602.7342.55%38.45%38.46%36.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.42%3.65cote équitable
EV -0.461%
Avantage -0.127%
Kelly -0.175%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%27.39%27.37%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.373.6334.72%29.78%29.67%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%EV -2.60%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.74%EV -0.461%E -0.127%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.24%EV -2.20%E -0.807%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -5.95%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.86%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.60%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.60%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.14%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.96%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.26%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.83%EV -7.93%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 36.67%EV -7.74%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.99%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 17:00
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.68%E -4.40%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.38%EV -10.68%E -4.40%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.34%EV -7.93%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.28%EV -8.69%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.86%EV -11.05%E -4.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.11%EV -11.52%E -4.66%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -15.82%E -6.73%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.03%E -7.30%K -11.18%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.77%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-05-09 17:00