La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Alanyaspor v Kayserispor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alanyaspor (Local)
Predicción 36.76%2.72momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -1.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%36.81%36.70%38.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.86%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Kayserispor (Visitante)
Predicción 35.82%2.79momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.807%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.53%35.80%35.93%37.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.602.602.7342.55%38.45%38.46%36.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.42%3.65momio equitativo
EV -0.461%
Ventaja -0.127%
Kelly -0.175%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%27.39%27.37%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.373.6334.72%29.78%29.67%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%EV -2.60%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.74%EV -0.461%E -0.127%K -0.175%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.24%EV -2.20%E -0.807%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -5.95%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Coral | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Everygame | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| GTbets | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.86%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.930%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.60%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betsson | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.60%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.14%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.96%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| BetUS | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.26%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.83%EV -7.93%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Bovada | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.67%EV -7.74%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.99%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.68%E -4.40%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.38%EV -10.68%E -4.40%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.34%EV -7.93%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.28%EV -8.69%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 36.86%EV -11.05%E -4.57%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.11%EV -11.52%E -4.66%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -15.82%E -6.73%K -11.71%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.03%E -7.30%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05% | 0.4% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74% | 1.1% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.15% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12% | 1.6% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Matchbook | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.77% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.57% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66% | 1.8% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |