مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alanyaspor v Kayserispor

البداية: 2026-05-09 17:02 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Alanyaspor 3–1 Kayserispor

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alanyaspor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 36.76%2.72السعر العادل
EV -2.60%
الأفضلية -0.980%
Kelly -1.57%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.29%36.81%36.70%38.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.402.512.502.6541.67%39.86%40.00%37.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Kayserispor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 35.82%2.79السعر العادل
EV -2.20%
الأفضلية -0.807%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.53%35.80%35.93%37.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.602.602.7342.55%38.45%38.46%36.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.42%3.65السعر العادل
EV -0.461%
الأفضلية -0.127%
Kelly -0.175%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.48%27.39%27.37%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.363.373.6334.72%29.78%29.67%27.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%EV -2.60%E -0.980%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.63%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.74%EV -0.461%E -0.127%K -0.175%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Pinnacle2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%EV -3.70%E -1.41%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.24%EV -2.20%E -0.807%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.05%EV -5.95%E -1.73%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -1.28%E -0.357%K -0.494%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 17:00
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -4.44%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
GTbets2.58I 38.76%NM 37.06%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.08%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.86%EV -2.38%E -0.669%K -0.930%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-09 16:59
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.17%E -2.00%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-09 16:59
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 16:59
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.76%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 17:00
NordicBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.60%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -7.22%E -2.79%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.60%EV -7.59%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 17:00
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.42%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.14%E -2.34%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 17:00
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.27%E -2.46%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.03%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Marathon Bet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.72%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.96%E -2.70%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 16:59
BetUS2.54I 39.37%NM 36.26%EV -6.64%E -2.61%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.83%EV -7.93%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Bovada2.51I 39.84%NM 36.67%EV -7.74%E -3.09%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.00%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.32%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Svenska Spel2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -5.40%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 16:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 16:59
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.25%E -3.83%K -5.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -8.11%E -3.24%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -12.23%E -4.99%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.77%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.69%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 17:00
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.37%EV -8.85%E -3.57%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -5.07%E -1.91%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -3.28%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:00
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -9.95%E -4.06%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.99%E -4.84%K -7.14%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 17:00
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.59%EV -10.68%E -4.40%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.73%EV -5.78%E -2.20%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 16:59
Betclic (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 37.38%EV -10.68%E -4.40%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 35.34%EV -7.93%E -3.09%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.28%EV -8.69%E -2.61%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 16:59
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.86%EV -11.05%E -4.57%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.11%EV -11.52%E -4.66%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -9.51%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Unibet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.65%E -3.39%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -8.14%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-09 16:59
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:00
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:00
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -6.86%E -2.64%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-09 17:00
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -10.44%E -4.18%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.77%E -1.99%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 16:59
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.24%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.01%EV -15.82%E -6.73%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.76%EV -10.88%E -3.35%K -4.84%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -11.79%E -4.91%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -14.02%E -5.84%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.03%E -7.30%K -11.18%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-09 16:59
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.88%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.05%0.4%2026-05-09 17:00
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.65%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.60%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.74%1.1%2026-05-09 17:00
Smarkets2.68I 37.31%NM 36.73%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.15%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.12%1.6%2026-05-09 16:59
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.77%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-05-09 17:00