Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.06
assuming max odds 4.22
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alanyaspor (Local): 47.05%; Genclerbirligi SK (Visit): 24.67%; Draw: 28.28%. For Genclerbirligi SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.05. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.12%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.96%EV +4.12%E +0.976%K +1.28%G +0.053% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.59%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.41%EV -4.02%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.06%EV -0.818%E -0.203%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -1.31%E -0.328%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -1.31%E -0.328%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.19%E -4.76%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.31%E -0.328%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 16:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.89%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.29%EV -4.27%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.82%EV -7.53%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -8.38%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -12.02%E -6.43%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -7.78%E -3.97%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.28%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -9.23%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.28%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -9.23%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -13.43%E -7.30%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -13.43%E -7.30%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -13.90%E -7.59%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -10.13%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.40%EV -11.55%E -6.14%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -11.67%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -8.95%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -12.96%E -7.00%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-09 16:33 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.61%E -5.58%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.13%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.56%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -15.31%E -8.51%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -17.99%E -6.20%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-09 16:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |