La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Alanyaspor v Genclerbirligi SK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alanyaspor (Local)
Predicción 47.05%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.94%47.11%47.14%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.951.952.0655.56%51.40%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Genclerbirligi SK (Visitante)
Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV +4.12%
Ventaja +0.976%
Kelly +1.28%
Crecimiento +0.053%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.22
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.96%24.67%24.65%25.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.804.2229.41%26.50%26.32%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.28%3.54momio equitativo
EV -1.03%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.411%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.37%28.22%28.21%29.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.303.303.5034.72%30.33%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.96%EV +4.12%E +0.976%K +1.28%G +0.053% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.59%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.41%EV -4.02%E -1.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.06%EV -0.818%E -0.203%K -0.271%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.53%EV -4.14%E -1.22%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -1.31%E -0.328%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.15%EV -3.08%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.28%EV -1.31%E -0.328%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -9.19%E -4.76%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -1.31%E -0.328%K -0.437%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 16:54 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 16:39 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.89%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.29%EV -4.27%E -1.10%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.82%EV -7.53%E -2.30%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| betPARX | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Unibet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.708%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.69%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.80%EV -8.38%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -12.02%E -6.43%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -1.03%E -0.294%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| Bovada | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -7.78%E -3.97%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Betsson | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.28%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -9.23%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.28%EV -5.43%E -2.70%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.74%EV -7.23%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 28.98%EV -9.23%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.52%EV -3.55%E -1.73%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.43%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -3.86%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.69%EV -4.96%E -2.45%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -8.25%E -4.23%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -13.43%E -7.30%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -13.43%E -7.30%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.00%EV -13.90%E -7.59%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.23%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-09 16:49 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.17%EV -10.13%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.68%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.15%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.40%EV -11.55%E -6.14%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.13%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -11.08%E -5.86%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -11.67%E -3.26%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -8.95%E -2.78%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-09 16:34 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -5.90%E -2.95%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.10%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-09 16:44 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.30%EV -9.66%E -5.03%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -5.27%E -1.57%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-09 16:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.22%EV -12.96%E -7.00%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.61%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.18%EV -12.34%E -3.98%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-09 16:33 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.20%EV -10.61%E -5.58%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -6.68%E -2.03%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -10.13%E -5.31%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.25%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.81%EV -18.56%E -6.44%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-09 16:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.51%EV -15.31%E -8.51%K -19.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -16.11%E -4.74%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 28.87%EV -17.99%E -6.20%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-03-09 16:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70% | 1.0% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-03-09 16:55 |
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 3.0% | 2026-03-09 16:35 |