Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 5.38
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 3.71
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alanyaspor (Local): 19.07%; Besiktas JK (Visit): 54.27%; Draw: 26.66%. For Alanyaspor (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.24. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.60%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.97%EV +2.60%E +0.484%K +0.595%G +0.015% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.08%E +0.204%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.36%E -0.367%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.08%E +0.204%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.36%E -0.367%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.08%E +0.204%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.36%E -0.367%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.62%EV -0.638%E -0.122%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -0.828%E -0.159%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.828%E -0.159%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.30%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV -0.828%E -0.159%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.88%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.27%EV -3.31%E -0.652%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -11.49%E -3.46%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.00%EV -4.83%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.44%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.56%EV -1.09%E -0.294%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -6.55%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.55%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:22 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -12.56%E -3.83%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.69%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.84%EV -10.94%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.55%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.22%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -11.32%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -12.08%E -7.46%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -12.27%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.80%EV -10.46%E -6.34%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.18%E -3.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -16.09%E -3.66%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.01%EV -9.91%E -5.97%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -18.95%E -4.46%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -0.688%E -0.376%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -18.95%E -4.46%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -0.688%E -0.376%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -23.71%E -5.93%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -23.71%E -5.93%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -23.71%E -5.93%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -24.67%E -6.25%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -24.67%E -6.25%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.81% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |