Idioma:Español
Alanyaspor v Besiktas JK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alanyaspor (Local)
Predicción 19.07%5.24momio equitativo
EV +2.60%
Ventaja +0.484%
Kelly +0.595%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.84%19.17%19.12%22.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.674.755.3825.32%21.40%21.05%18.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Besiktas JK (Visitante)
Predicción 54.27%1.84momio equitativo
EV -0.688%
Ventaja -0.376%
Kelly -0.829%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.80%54.11%54.21%55.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.8361.73%57.68%57.80%54.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.66%3.75momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.294%
Kelly -0.403%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.56%26.73%26.67%27.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.493.503.7131.25%28.67%28.57%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alanyaspor (Local): 19.07%; Besiktas JK (Visitante): 54.27%; Empate: 26.66%. Para Alanyaspor (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.24. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.60%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.38I 18.59%NM 17.97%EV +2.60%E +0.484%K +0.595%G +0.015% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.25%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.78%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.08%E +0.204%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.36%E -0.367%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.08%E +0.204%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.36%E -0.367%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%EV +1.08%E +0.204%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.60%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%EV -1.36%E -0.367%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-23 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.21I 19.19%NM 18.62%EV -0.638%E -0.122%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.80%EV -3.94%E -2.23%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.69%E -0.737%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.15%EV -0.828%E -0.159%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.88%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.07%EV -0.828%E -0.159%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.30%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV -0.828%E -0.159%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.88%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.07I 19.72%NM 18.27%EV -3.31%E -0.652%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.89%EV -11.49%E -3.46%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.46%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.48%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.20%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.49%EV -8.29%E -4.90%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.64%E -0.929%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.35%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 19.00%EV -4.83%E -0.969%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.44%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.56%EV -1.09%E -0.294%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-23 17:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -6.55%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -6.55%E -1.34%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.28%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 18:22 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.12%EV -8.46%E -1.76%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.06%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.21%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -5.03%E -2.87%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.54%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.66%E -3.87%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 18:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.15%EV -7.20%E -4.21%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 27.71%EV -12.56%E -3.83%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.77%EV -9.41%E -1.98%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.38%EV -9.37%E -5.61%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -14.69%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.67I 21.41%NM 19.84%EV -10.94%E -2.34%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.55%EV -6.12%E -3.53%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.62%EV -7.22%E -2.08%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.16%EV -11.32%E -2.43%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -12.08%E -7.46%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.83%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -12.27%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -12.27%E -2.67%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.80%EV -10.46%E -6.34%K -16.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.02%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -14.18%E -3.15%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -8.83%E -5.26%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -16.09%E -3.66%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.01%EV -9.91%E -5.97%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.62%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -18.95%E -4.46%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -0.688%E -0.376%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.21%EV -18.95%E -4.46%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -0.688%E -0.376%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.02%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -21.81%E -5.32%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.33%EV -2.86%E -1.60%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -23.71%E -5.93%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -23.71%E -5.93%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.80%EV -3.40%E -1.91%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.56%EV -23.71%E -5.93%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.28%EV -4.49%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -8.02%E -2.33%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -24.67%E -6.25%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.48%EV -24.67%E -6.25%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.02%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.50% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.80% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.81% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.49% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.94% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62% | 0.6% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.58% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.69% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.61% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 18:20 |