L’École des cotes

Servette v FC Luzern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Servette (Local)

Prévision 44.17%2.26cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.49%
Kelly -2.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.45%44.30%44.06%46.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.062.052.1951.28%48.59%48.78%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Luzern (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV +0.514%
Avantage +0.158%
Kelly +0.229%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.76%30.79%30.96%31.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.09%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.90%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.392%
Avantage -0.098%
Kelly -0.131%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.75%24.91%24.99%26.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.663.654.0031.25%27.36%27.40%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:15
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.15%EV -0.723%E -0.225%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV -6.12%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.86%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -13.43%E -6.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 05:30
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.68%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.12%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.392%E -0.098%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:59
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 11:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:30
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 02:40
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:14
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:15
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.51%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 09:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 08:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 06:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 13:01
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 13:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 06:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 06:24
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:24
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 06:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 14:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.92%EV -10.33%E -5.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.96%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:04
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 07:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 09:40
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.97%EV -12.10%E -6.08%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.03%EV -12.78%E -4.53%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.31%E -6.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 08:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 09:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 06:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-04-06 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-04-06 14:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.34%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69%2.5%2026-04-06 14:25