La escuela de los momios

Servette v FC Luzern

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Servette (Local)

Predicción 44.17%2.26momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.49%
Kelly -2.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.45%44.30%44.06%46.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.062.052.1951.28%48.59%48.78%45.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Luzern (Visitante)

Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV +0.514%
Ventaja +0.158%
Kelly +0.229%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.76%30.79%30.96%31.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.09%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.90%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.392%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.131%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%24.91%24.99%26.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.663.654.0031.25%27.36%27.40%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:15
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.15%EV -0.723%E -0.225%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV -6.12%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.86%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -13.43%E -6.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 05:30
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.68%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.12%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.392%E -0.098%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:59
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 11:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:30
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 02:40
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:14
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:15
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.51%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 09:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 08:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 06:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 13:01
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 13:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 06:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 06:24
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:24
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 06:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 14:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.92%EV -10.33%E -5.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.96%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:04
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 07:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 09:40
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.97%EV -12.10%E -6.08%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.03%EV -12.78%E -4.53%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.31%E -6.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 08:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 09:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 06:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-04-06 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-04-06 14:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.34%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69%2.5%2026-04-06 14:25