مدرسة الاحتمالات

Servette v FC Luzern

البداية: 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Servette (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.17%2.26السعر العادل
EV -3.27%
الأفضلية -1.49%
Kelly -2.74%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.45%44.30%44.06%46.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.952.062.052.1951.28%48.59%48.78%45.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Luzern (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.93%3.23السعر العادل
EV +0.514%
الأفضلية +0.158%
Kelly +0.229%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.76%30.79%30.96%31.90%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.703.023.003.2537.04%33.09%33.33%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.90%4.02السعر العادل
EV -0.392%
الأفضلية -0.098%
Kelly -0.131%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.75%24.91%24.99%26.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.663.654.0031.25%27.36%27.40%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:15
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.55%EV -3.71%E -1.70%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.89%EV +0.514%E +0.158%K +0.229%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 14:15
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -3.27%E -1.49%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 30.15%EV -0.723%E -0.225%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV -6.12%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 14:15
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.86%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:04
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -1.03%E -0.323%K -0.469%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-01 00:05
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -12.98%E -6.59%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-01 00:05
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.31%EV -13.43%E -6.85%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -2.58%E -0.819%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-02 05:30
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 44.68%EV -6.80%E -3.22%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.12%EV -3.20%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.21%EV -6.87%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.392%E -0.098%K -0.131%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-25 03:59
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -8.57%E -4.14%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.28%EV -4.74%E -1.54%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 11:05
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.04%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.92%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:30
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 02:40
BetUS2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:14
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 14:15
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.02%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.51%EV -5.12%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 14:20
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 09:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 08:39
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -2.88%E -0.739%K -0.994%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 06:24
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:15
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 13:01
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.63%EV -6.36%E -3.00%K -5.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.04%EV -7.84%E -2.63%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-02 13:00
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 06:05
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 06:24
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:20
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:14
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -5.03%E -2.34%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:24
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.37%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.26%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 06:24
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.24%E -3.45%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -5.37%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.31%E -3.56%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 14:05
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.53%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-05 07:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 43.92%EV -10.33%E -5.09%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.96%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:04
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.93%E -3.79%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 08:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 07:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.48%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.06%EV -11.24%E -3.92%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 07:00
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -9.45%E -4.61%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -11.86%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -6.62%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 09:40
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.97%EV -12.10%E -6.08%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.03%EV -12.78%E -4.53%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.84%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.75%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.53%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -20.31%E -6.35%K -9.23%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-06 08:40
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.66%E -5.83%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.95%E -5.44%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-06 09:40
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.17%EV -13.87%E -7.11%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.90%EV -16.50%E -6.11%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.93%EV -10.35%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-06 06:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.33%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.91%1.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.58%1.7%2026-04-06 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-04-06 14:25
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.34%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.69%2.5%2026-04-06 14:25