Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette v FC Lausanne-Sport

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 18:30 UTC

Final: Servette 2–0 FC Lausanne-Sport

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Servette (Local)

Prediction 51.12%1.96fair odd
EV -2.87%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.34%51.13%51.21%52.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.821.9058.82%55.22%54.95%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit)

Prediction 24.91%4.01fair odd
EV -0.357%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.119%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%24.87%24.84%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.683.604.0029.41%27.17%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.97%4.17fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.600%
Kelly -0.796%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.08%23.99%23.94%26.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.813.854.0730.77%26.24%25.97%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Servette (Local): 51.12%; FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit): 24.91%; Draw: 23.97%. For FC Lausanne-Sport (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.357%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.55%EV -3.10%E -0.796%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -9.16%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:04
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:20
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.10%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.22%EV -0.855%E -0.215%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -2.44%E -0.600%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 18:16
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 17:24
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:21
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:01
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:00
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:35
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:35
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 00:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 00:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.82%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:05
1xBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.13%EV -3.35%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.13%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 17:30
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 17:30
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:40
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:41
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:40
Bet Right🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:30
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:24
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:21
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.50%E -4.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -2.85%E -0.730%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:25
Bovada🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 17:36
Betr (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 17:30
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -0.357%E -0.089%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 17:25
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -2.85%E -0.730%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:01
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-12 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -11.05%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -11.56%E -6.68%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -22.10%E -6.80%K -9.82%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.80%EV -12.07%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -12.07%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.51%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-12 18:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -13.10%E -7.70%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-12 18:25