La escuela de los momios

Servette v FC Lausanne-Sport

Inicio: 2026-05-12 18:30 UTC

Final: Servette 2–0 FC Lausanne-Sport

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Servette (Local)

Predicción 51.12%1.96momio equitativo
EV -2.87%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.34%51.13%51.21%52.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.821.9058.82%55.22%54.95%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lausanne-Sport (Visitante)

Predicción 24.91%4.01momio equitativo
EV -0.357%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.119%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.33%24.87%24.84%26.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.683.604.0029.41%27.17%27.78%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.600%
Kelly -0.796%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.08%23.99%23.94%26.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.813.854.0730.77%26.24%25.97%24.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.87%E -1.51%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.55%EV -3.10%E -0.796%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.20%EV -9.16%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-12 18:04
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:20
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -4.41%E -2.36%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:19
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.10%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.22%EV -0.855%E -0.215%K -0.287%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -2.44%E -0.600%K -0.796%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-12 18:16
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.47%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-12 17:30
BetMGM1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-12 17:24
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 49.96%EV -5.43%E -2.93%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.01%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 19:00
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-12 17:21
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:30
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-12 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 19:00
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 50.23%EV -6.45%E -3.53%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-05 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:00
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:01
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:00
BetAnything1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:35
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:35
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.83%E -2.12%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-12 17:35
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 00:19
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 00:19
Betclic (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -6.96%E -3.83%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -10.82%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.59%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-12 18:05
1xBet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.73%EV -7.47%E -4.13%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.13%EV -3.35%E -0.862%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.13%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-12 17:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-12 17:20
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-12 17:30
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:40
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:41
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:40
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-12 17:40
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-12 17:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 18:24
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:21
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:21
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -7.98%E -4.44%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-12 17:25
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.07%EV -8.50%E -4.75%K -10.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -2.85%E -0.730%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -7.00%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-12 17:25
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-12 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-12 17:36
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -9.01%E -5.06%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-12 17:30
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -0.357%E -0.089%K -0.119%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-12 17:59
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -9.52%E -5.38%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-12 17:25
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -2.85%E -0.730%K -0.982%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-12 17:45
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -5.34%E -1.41%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-12 18:01
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.08%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-12 18:00
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -10.54%E -6.02%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -6.58%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-12 18:00
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.45%EV -11.05%E -6.35%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-12 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.34%EV -11.56%E -6.68%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.39%EV -12.81%E -3.66%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.27%EV -22.10%E -6.80%K -9.82%G +0.000%17.1%2026-05-12 18:01
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.80%EV -12.07%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.32%E -2.87%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-12 18:05
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -12.07%E -7.02%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.57%E -3.26%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -12.51%E -3.43%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-12 18:15
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 51.19%EV -13.10%E -7.70%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -15.30%E -4.50%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.21%EV -10.11%E -2.70%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-12 17:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:25
Matchbook1.87I 53.48%NM 52.88%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-05-12 18:26
Smarkets1.87I 53.48%NM 52.57%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.86%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.57%1.7%2026-05-12 18:25