Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grasshopper Zürich v Servette

Kickoff: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Final: Grasshopper Zürich 0–2 Servette

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Prediction 32.35%3.09fair odd
EV +0.285%
Edge +0.092%
Kelly +0.136%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%32.22%32.36%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.892.893.1038.46%34.60%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Servette (Visit)

Prediction 41.52%2.41fair odd
EV -3.67%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%41.61%41.53%44.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.182.202.3248.78%45.94%45.45%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.537%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.73%26.16%26.10%28.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.68%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Grasshopper Zürich (Local): 32.35%; Servette (Visit): 41.52%; Draw: 26.13%. For Grasshopper Zürich (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.285%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.79%EV -1.66%E -0.545%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.66%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.54%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 14:05
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:25
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:05
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 09:55
GTbets🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.83%E -3.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -7.50%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:15
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:15
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Bovada🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:25
BetUS🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:25
BetAnything🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.01%E -0.537%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 14:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:15
Everygame🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Betsson🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.77%E -3.11%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:15
NordicBet🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.77%E -3.11%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:25
Neds🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Coral🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.07%E -3.62%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.85%EV -4.92%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.49%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -11.68%E -4.28%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:15
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:10
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -14.92%E -5.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.61%E -7.20%K -10.81%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-03 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -15.24%E -5.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -15.89%E -6.11%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-05-03 14:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-05-03 14:15