La escuela de los momios

Grasshopper Zürich v Servette

Inicio: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Final: Grasshopper Zürich 0–2 Servette

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Grasshopper Zürich (Local)

Predicción 32.35%3.09momio equitativo
EV +0.285%
Ventaja +0.092%
Kelly +0.136%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.32%32.22%32.36%33.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.892.893.1038.46%34.60%34.60%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Servette (Visitante)

Predicción 41.52%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.60%41.61%41.53%44.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.3248.78%45.94%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.537%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.73%26.16%26.10%28.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.493.503.7533.33%28.68%28.57%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 00:00
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.64%E -6.56%K -12.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-30 23:59
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV +0.285%E +0.092%K +0.136%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-01 00:00
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.79%EV -1.66%E -0.545%K -0.812%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.66%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.55%EV -4.89%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-03 14:20
LowVig.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.96I 33.78%NM 32.04%EV -4.24%E -1.43%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.87%EV -3.67%E -1.58%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.09%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:10
Marathon Bet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -5.54%E -1.90%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:20
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-03 14:05
FanDuel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:25
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 14:05
BetMGM2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 09:55
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.79%EV -7.83%E -3.53%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.21%EV -7.50%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 14:05
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:15
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:15
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:14
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -6.18%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Bovada2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:25
BetUS2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:25
BetAnything2.88I 34.72%NM 32.10%EV -6.83%E -2.37%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.09%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.34%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.32%EV -4.50%E -1.96%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -2.01%E -0.537%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-03 14:09
Unibet (UK)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 14:15
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -7.80%E -2.74%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-03 14:15
Betsson2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.77%E -3.11%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:15
NordicBet2.82I 35.46%NM 32.81%EV -8.77%E -3.11%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.24%E -2.04%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-03 14:10
PointsBet (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -3.32%E -0.897%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:10
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 14:25
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -9.42%E -3.36%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.16%E -3.28%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-03 09:55
1xBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -10.07%E -3.62%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.85%EV -4.92%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.49%EV -4.10%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:25
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -6.58%E -2.92%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:20
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.31%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.38%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-03 14:14
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.04%E -4.01%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -13.77%E -4.17%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.73I 36.63%NM 32.67%EV -11.68%E -4.28%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -10.73%E -4.99%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:10
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:15
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:10
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -8.66%E -3.93%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -5.93%E -1.65%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 14:10
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.44%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.60%EV -5.33%E -2.34%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.95%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 14:25
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -12.65%E -4.69%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -12.46%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 31.96%EV -14.92%E -5.67%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.02%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.02%EV -21.61%E -7.20%K -10.81%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-03 14:25
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 33.04%EV -15.24%E -5.82%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.23%EV -14.88%E -7.26%K -14.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -8.55%E -2.44%K -3.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-03 13:05
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.43%EV -15.89%E -6.11%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -12.81%E -6.10%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -9.85%E -2.86%K -4.02%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-03 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.62%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%0.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-05-03 14:15
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.28%1.5%2026-05-03 14:25
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.73%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-05-03 14:15