Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich v BSC Young Boys

Início: 2026-09-01 18:30 UTC

Final: FC Zurich 2–4 BSC Young Boys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

FC Zurich (Local)

Previsão 21.15%4.73odd justa
EV +0.445%
Vantagem +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.87%21.16%21.13%23.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.364.384.7526.67%22.92%22.86%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

BSC Young Boys (Visitante)

Previsão 58.73%1.70odd justa
EV -3.68%
Vantagem -2.24%
Kelly -5.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.19%58.70%58.75%60.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.571.561.6466.67%63.87%64.10%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.12%4.97odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -0.498%
Kelly -0.628%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.68%20.14%20.13%22.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.514.504.8524.39%22.19%22.22%20.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: FC Zurich (Local): 21.15%; BSC Young Boys (Visitante): 58.73%; Empate: 20.12%. Para FC Zurich (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.73. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.445%.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +0.445%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.43%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.612%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.43%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:25
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:19
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Pinnacle🎯4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.94%E -0.640%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.13%EV -4.26%E -2.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.87%EV -2.42%E -0.498%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.26%EV -4.00%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.85%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.90%EV -2.42%E -0.498%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.26%EV -4.00%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.85%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.90%EV -2.42%E -0.498%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.43%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:05
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.43%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 05:20
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -8.45%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -17.51%E -4.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.02%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -12.48%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 05:20
GTbets🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -8.44%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.80%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -8.45%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:50
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.44%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:25
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 05:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 05:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 05:20
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 18:20
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.79%EV -14.36%E -3.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.68%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -20.70%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.26%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.84%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-01 17:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-01 18:25