Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Zurich v BSC Young Boys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-01 18:30 UTC

Score final : FC Zurich 2–4 BSC Young Boys

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

FC Zurich (Local)

Prévision 21.15%4.73cote équitable
EV +0.445%
Avantage +0.094%
Kelly +0.119%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.87%21.16%21.13%23.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.364.384.7526.67%22.92%22.86%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

BSC Young Boys (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.73%1.70cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -2.24%
Kelly -5.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.19%58.70%58.75%60.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.561.6466.67%63.87%64.10%60.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.12%4.97cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -0.498%
Kelly -0.628%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.68%20.14%20.13%22.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.514.504.8524.39%22.19%22.22%20.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : FC Zurich (Local) : 21.15% ; BSC Young Boys (Visiteur) : 58.73% ; Match nul : 20.12%. Pour FC Zurich (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.73. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.75, soit une espérance positive de +0.445%.

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV +0.445%E +0.094%K +0.119%G +0.001%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.75%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.43%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 18:05
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -0.612%E -0.130%K -0.166%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.87%EV -5.43%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:25
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:19
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -2.73%E -0.593%K -0.758%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 05:20
Pinnacle🎯4.59I 21.79%NM 21.00%EV -2.94%E -0.640%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.13%EV -4.26%E -2.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.87%EV -2.42%E -0.498%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-01 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.26%EV -4.00%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.85%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.90%EV -2.42%E -0.498%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 17:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.26%EV -4.00%E -0.880%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.85%EV -3.68%E -2.24%K -5.75%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.90%EV -2.42%E -0.498%K -0.628%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-01 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.43%E -0.932%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 18:05
SportsBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:20
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -4.84%E -1.08%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:05
Codere (IT)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.38%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -5.43%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 17:50
Bet Right🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.78%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-01 18:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.60%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.47%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.93%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.98%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 05:20
Paddy Power🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -6.96%E -1.58%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.79%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Bovada🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.16%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.62%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.23%EV -8.45%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-01 18:20
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -17.51%E -4.27%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -8.01%E -1.84%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.02%EV -11.31%E -7.49%K -22.18%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -12.48%E -2.87%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 05:20
GTbets🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.62%EV -8.44%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.80%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.58%EV -8.45%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 17:50
Bet Victor🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -8.44%E -1.95%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 18:25
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 17:45
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.38%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.19%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:25
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -8.96%E -5.78%K -16.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-01 18:05
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 05:20
Virgin Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 05:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -9.07%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.90%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-01 05:20
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.05%EV -7.79%E -4.96%K -13.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-01 18:05
Sky Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -11.19%E -2.66%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.85%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.07%EV -15.49%E -3.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-01 18:20
BetMGM🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.23%EV -4.85%E -3.00%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 17:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -7.20%E -4.56%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 17:45
NetBet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%EV -13.30%E -3.24%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%EV -11.47%E -2.61%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 21.79%EV -14.36%E -3.55%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.68%EV -10.14%E -6.63%K -19.13%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -13.48%E -3.14%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-01 18:05
Winamax (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -15.41%E -3.85%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.58%EV -8.38%E -5.37%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-01 17:45
Neds🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -17.53%E -4.49%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -6.03%E -3.77%K -10.04%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 17:45
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 22.90%EV -20.70%E -5.52%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 57.26%EV -11.90%E -7.93%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.84%EV -12.88%E -2.97%K -3.87%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-01 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.49%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.23%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.00I 20.00%NM 19.80%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.0%2026-09-01 18:25
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.06%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-09-01 18:25