Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Winterthur v Grasshopper Zürich

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prediction 35.02%2.86fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.692%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.90%34.93%35.06%36.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.642.8041.67%37.60%37.88%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grasshopper Zürich (Visit)

Prediction 38.28%2.61fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.70%38.41%38.23%40.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.382.5444.44%42.39%42.02%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.70%3.75fair odd
EV -3.89%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.74%26.66%26.71%28.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.423.453.6033.33%29.24%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Winterthur (Local): 35.02%; Grasshopper Zürich (Visit): 38.28%; Draw: 26.70%. For FC Winterthur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -1.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
LeoVegas🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Pinnacle🎯2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -3.34%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.08%EV -2.77%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.98%E -2.87%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:14
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.04%E -4.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 15:15
GTbets🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.80%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.06%E -2.04%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 15:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:10
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:10
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.30%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 15:49
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.04%E -4.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -5.83%E -2.37%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.10%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.73%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -7.36%E -3.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 34.73%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -7.36%E -3.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:39
Neds🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:09
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.73%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.45%EV -4.30%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.82%EV -6.83%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:35
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:10
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.10%E -5.77%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 15:33
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 15:30
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:55
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 14:10
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:50
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 15:55
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:55
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 15:49
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 15:49
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.25%EV -13.50%E -5.46%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -13.10%E -5.77%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.91%E -6.64%K -9.96%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-11 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.0%2026-04-11 15:55