L’École des cotes

FC Winterthur v Grasshopper Zürich

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Winterthur (Local)

Prévision 35.02%2.86cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.692%
Kelly -1.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.90%34.93%35.06%36.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.662.642.8041.67%37.60%37.88%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grasshopper Zürich (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.28%2.61cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.70%38.41%38.23%40.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.362.382.5444.44%42.39%42.02%39.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.70%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.89%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.66%26.71%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.423.453.6033.33%29.24%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -1.94%E -0.692%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.40%EV -12.72%E -5.58%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:15
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.05%EV -3.34%E -1.21%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.08%EV -2.77%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 15:50
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.98%E -2.87%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 14:14
BetMGM2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.04%E -4.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 12:10
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 15:15
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -3.69%E -1.34%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 15:15
GTbets2.72I 36.76%NM 34.80%EV -4.74%E -1.74%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.16%EV -5.06%E -2.04%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.04%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 15:55
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 14:05
Tipico (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.44%E -2.01%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:45
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:10
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.45%EV -6.14%E -2.29%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.79%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 14:10
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.91%EV -4.30%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 15:50
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 15:49
Everygame2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -10.04%E -4.27%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.82%EV -7.19%E -2.71%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.36%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-11 14:10
Marathon Bet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.31%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.90%EV -5.83%E -2.37%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.10%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:55
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 34.73%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -7.36%E -3.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:35
BetOnline.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 34.73%EV -7.54%E -2.86%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.89%EV -7.36%E -3.04%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:39
Neds2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -7.89%E -3.00%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 12:09
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.73%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.45%EV -4.30%E -1.72%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.82%EV -6.83%E -1.96%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 15:55
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:34
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:10
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 12:10
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -8.24%E -3.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -13.10%E -5.77%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.64%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 15:33
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:49
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -3.89%E -1.08%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 15:30
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.90%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 14:30
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.94%E -3.44%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 14:10
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -6.21%E -2.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-11 15:55
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:49
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-11 15:49
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -10.69%E -4.19%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.12%E -3.39%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-11 15:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -6.56%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-11 15:49
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.89%E -3.74%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.23%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-11 15:49
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 14:35
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -12.44%E -4.98%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -13.87%E -6.16%K -11.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -10.57%E -3.15%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-11 14:10
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 35.25%EV -13.50%E -5.46%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.36%EV -13.10%E -5.77%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.39%EV -11.90%E -3.61%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -15.95%E -6.64%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.95%E -5.20%K -9.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -19.91%E -6.64%K -9.96%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-11 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.81%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.97%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-04-11 15:55
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.03%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.72%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.25%2.0%2026-04-11 15:55