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FC Vaduz v FC Thun

2026-09-20 12:00 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Vaduz (Local)

Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd
EV -6.52%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -3.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.51%34.16%34.03%35.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.632.7540.00%38.21%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 42.47%2.35fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.637%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.02%42.14%42.54%43.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.032.222.212.3249.26%44.97%45.25%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.54%4.25fair odd
EV -5.84%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%23.70%23.43%24.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.803.854.0027.78%26.29%25.97%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC Vaduz (Local): 33.99%; FC Thun (Visit): 42.47%; Draw: 23.54%. For FC Thun (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.32, with an expected value of -1.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -6.52%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%EV -5.84%E -1.46%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 13:44
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.65%EV -7.54%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:10
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.65%EV -7.54%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.77%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 12:15
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.34%EV -7.88%E -2.91%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.11%EV -6.15%E -2.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.56%EV -7.02%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-13 12:31
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -8.22%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.27%EV -7.00%E -3.20%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.44%EV -7.02%E -1.78%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 12:16
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.13%EV -9.92%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.07%EV -8.70%E -4.04%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -10.55%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 12:10
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.50%EV -10.59%E -4.03%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.25%EV -1.48%E -0.637%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -9.38%E -2.44%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.51%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.26%EV -13.79%E -6.79%K -13.39%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.23%EV -11.02%E -2.92%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-13 12:10
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.31%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.02%EV -4.45%E -1.98%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-13 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.18%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.23%EV -5.30%E -2.38%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.58%EV -14.08%E -3.86%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-13 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.31%EV -13.31%E -5.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.67%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -10.55%E -2.78%K -3.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-13 12:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -15.01%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -15.26%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 12:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -15.01%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -15.26%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 12:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -15.01%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -6.57%E -2.99%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -15.26%E -4.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.65%EV -15.01%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.94%E -6.31%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.10%EV -11.73%E -3.13%K -4.27%G +0.000%15.4%2026-09-13 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.