赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

FC Vaduz v FC Thun

开赛时间： 2026-09-20 12:00 UTC

最终结果： FC Vaduz 1–2 FC Thun

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

59 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Vaduz (主队)

预测 38.17%2.62公平赔率
EV -0.768%
优势 -0.296%
Kelly -0.480%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布
36.74%38.18%38.22%39.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.412.402.6046.51%41.53%41.67%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

FC Thun (客队)

预测 38.51%2.60公平赔率
EV -3.72%
优势 -1.49%
Kelly -2.48%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
36.98%38.52%38.50%39.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.402.402.5045.45%41.69%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 23.32%4.29公平赔率
EV -0.883%
优势 -0.208%
Kelly -0.272%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.25

博彩公司预测分布
22.01%23.29%23.29%24.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.903.904.2527.78%25.61%25.64%23.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Vaduz (主队)：38.17%；FC Thun (客队)：38.51%；平局：23.32%。 对于“FC Vaduz (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.62。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.60，期望值为-0.768%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (59 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.23%EV -0.768%E -0.296%K -0.480%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.27%EV -2.98%E -0.717%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-20 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -1.53%E -0.594%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 11:59
BetUS🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -1.53%E -0.594%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 11:59
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -1.53%E -0.594%K -0.969%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.52%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 11:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.56%EV -3.82%E -1.52%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.48%EV -5.26%E -2.14%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:54
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -4.58%E -1.83%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 11:59
1xBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.58%EV -4.97%E -1.99%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.48%EV -8.73%E -3.68%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.94%EV -4.85%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:59
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.46%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-20 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.24%EV -5.73%E -2.32%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.72%EV -6.03%E -2.47%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.04%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 11:54
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.01%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.23%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%EV -2.05%E -0.488%K -0.640%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 11:58
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:55
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 11:54
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -6.49%E -2.65%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 11:55
Bovada🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 37.90%EV -6.87%E -2.82%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.69%EV -7.96%E -3.33%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.41%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 11:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%EV -7.26%E -2.99%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%EV -6.41%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.48%EV -7.65%E -1.93%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-20 11:59
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.16%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.80%EV -7.64%E -3.16%K -5.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.44%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -3.72%E -1.49%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 11:50
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:49
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 11:50
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.23%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.23%EV -7.88%E -1.99%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 11:54
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.11%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.43%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:54
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.11%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.43%EV -8.34%E -3.50%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-20 11:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.69%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -4.38%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 11:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-20 11:54
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -8.40%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -16.04%E -4.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.34%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 11:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:54
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -9.16%E -3.85%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 11:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.68%EV -9.55%E -4.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.82%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:55
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.68%EV -9.55%E -4.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.82%EV -11.42%E -4.97%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -10.31%E -4.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -5.64%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -0.883%E -0.208%K -0.272%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.31%E -4.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.15%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 11:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -10.31%E -4.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.15%EV -9.05%E -2.32%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 11:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -10.31%E -4.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -6.71%E -1.68%K -2.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.55%EV -10.31%E -4.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.22%EV -13.35%E -5.93%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.22%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 11:54
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.86%EV -11.45%E -4.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -6.41%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -12.54%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-20 11:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31%EV -11.45%E -4.94%K -8.68%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.31%EV -10.65%E -4.59%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.98%EV -6.41%E -2.64%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -12.54%E -3.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-20 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.82%EV -12.22%E -5.31%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -9.50%E -4.04%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.19%EV -10.21%E -2.65%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 11:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.97%EV -12.98%E -5.69%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.97%EV -12.98%E -5.69%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.97%EV -12.98%E -5.69%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.02%EV -7.57%E -3.15%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -13.71%E -3.71%K -5.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 11:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.32%EV -17.94%E -8.35%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43%EV -15.27%E -6.94%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.38%E -2.99%K -4.06%G +0.000%18.3%2026-09-20 11:59
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.63%0.8%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.63%0.8%2026-09-20 11:55
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.63%0.8%2026-09-20 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.48%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.1%2026-09-20 11:55
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.63%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%1.4%2026-09-20 11:55