语言:简体中文
FC Thun v FC Basel
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
FC Thun (主队)
预测 53.37%1.87公平赔率
EV -3.94%
优势 -2.19%
Kelly -4.92%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.80
博彩公司预测分布
51.89%53.31%53.37%54.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.731.731.8058.48%57.68%57.80%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
FC Basel (客队)
预测 23.79%4.20公平赔率
EV -2.46%
优势 -0.600%
Kelly -0.793%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.10
博彩公司预测分布
22.74%23.64%23.79%24.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.753.853.854.1026.67%25.95%25.97%24.39%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 22.84%4.38公平赔率
EV -2.23%
优势 -0.522%
Kelly -0.681%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.28
博彩公司预测分布
22.58%23.05%22.84%23.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.803.984.004.2826.32%25.16%25.00%23.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：FC Thun (主队)：53.37%；FC Basel (客队)：23.79%；平局：22.84%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.38。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.28，期望值为-2.23%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (25 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.68%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV -3.17%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -2.23%E -0.522%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -7.49%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 18:17 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -3.17%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.21%E -4.77%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.46%E -0.600%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |