L’École des cotesFC Thun v FC Basel
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
FC Thun (Local)
Prévision 53.37%1.87cote équitable
EV -3.94%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.92%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.89%53.31%53.37%54.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.731.731.8058.48%57.68%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
FC Basel (Visiteur)
Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.600%
Kelly -0.793%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.74%23.64%23.79%24.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.753.853.854.1026.67%25.95%25.97%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.84%4.38cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.681%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.28
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.58%23.05%22.84%23.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.803.984.004.2826.32%25.16%25.00%23.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (25 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.68%EV -3.94%E -2.19%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV -3.17%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -2.23%E -0.522%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -6.61%E -3.78%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -13.20%E -3.47%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 04:25 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.15%EV -7.14%E -4.10%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -7.49%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 18:17 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.01%EV -3.17%E -0.780%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Unibet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Casumo | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.14%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -8.63%E -2.16%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| Everygame | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -7.67%E -4.44%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.91%E -2.80%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 10:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.48%EV -8.21%E -4.77%K -11.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.45%EV -12.06%E -3.13%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-11 18:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -2.46%E -0.600%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.35%E -1.55%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.27%EV -8.74%E -5.11%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.66%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -9.77%E -2.47%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 17:55 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (3)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.32% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |