A Escola das Odds

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys

Início: 2026-05-14 14:32 UTC

Final: FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Previsão 42.77%2.34odd justa
EV -2.49%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.04%42.78%42.70%44.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.59%46.62%43.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

BSC Young Boys (Visitante)

Previsão 33.38%3.00odd justa
EV -1.53%
Vantagem -0.517%
Kelly -0.783%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.09%33.34%33.44%35.21%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.402.772.782.9541.67%36.15%35.97%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.85%4.19odd justa
EV +0.178%
Vantagem +0.042%
Kelly +0.056%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.54%23.89%23.87%25.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.823.854.2030.30%26.15%25.97%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV +0.178%E +0.042%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 14:28
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV -1.53%E -0.517%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -3.16%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 14:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 14:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.54%E -4.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 14:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:31
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.47%EV -7.20%E -2.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.47%EV -7.20%E -2.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 14:28
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -12.33%E -6.01%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 14:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -6.34%E -2.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.87%E -2.46%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -7.45%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:29
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -1.86%E -0.633%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.44%EV -7.93%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 14:28
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:20
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.39%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 14:29
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -9.33%E -4.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -9.33%E -4.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 14:30
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.86%EV -11.47%E -5.54%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -8.65%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:25
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:31
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:31
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:30
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.27%EV -8.87%E -3.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.69%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:29
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:30
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:29
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:29
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 14:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -12.54%E -4.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -12.54%E -4.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:31
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.25%EV -14.47%E -7.23%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.21%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-14 14:31
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -12.33%E -6.01%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.21%E -5.08%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.58%EV -11.47%E -5.54%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -11.54%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 14:31
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -14.47%E -7.23%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -13.21%E -5.08%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -21.29%E -6.45%K -9.26%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-14 14:31
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.99%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-05-14 14:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-14 14:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-14 14:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-14 14:31