L’École des cotes

FC Thun v BSC Young Boys

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-14 14:32 UTC

Score final : FC Thun 3–8 BSC Young Boys

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Thun (Local)

Prévision 42.77%2.34cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.04%42.78%42.70%44.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2850.00%46.59%46.62%43.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

BSC Young Boys (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.38%3.00cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.783%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.09%33.34%33.44%35.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.772.782.9541.67%36.15%35.97%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.85%4.19cote équitable
EV +0.178%
Avantage +0.042%
Kelly +0.056%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.54%23.89%23.87%25.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.854.2030.30%26.15%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%EV +0.178%E +0.042%K +0.056%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-14 14:28
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.38%EV -4.63%E -2.08%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.79%EV -1.53%E -0.517%K -0.783%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.83%EV -3.16%E -0.779%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-14 14:29
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-14 14:30
PointsBet (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 14:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-14 14:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.41%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -12.54%E -4.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -4.59%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-14 14:29
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-14 14:30
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 14:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:31
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.47%EV -7.20%E -2.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:29
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.47%EV -7.20%E -2.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-14 14:29
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.11%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-14 14:28
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.60%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.92%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-14 14:29
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -12.33%E -6.01%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.14%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-14 14:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.56%EV -6.34%E -2.89%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -6.87%E -2.46%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.02%EV -7.45%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-14 14:29
GTbets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.47%EV -7.20%E -3.32%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.09%EV -1.86%E -0.633%K -0.959%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.44%EV -7.93%E -2.05%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-14 14:28
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:20
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:31
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 43.35%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.55%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 42.39%EV -6.77%E -3.10%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.60%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 14:29
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -9.33%E -4.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.58%EV -9.33%E -4.40%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.42%EV -4.86%E -1.71%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-14 14:30
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 43.10%EV -8.48%E -3.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.96%EV -8.17%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-14 14:30
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.86%EV -11.47%E -5.54%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.71%EV -8.65%E -2.26%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-14 14:25
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.04%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.34%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-14 14:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:31
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -6.53%E -2.33%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-14 14:31
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.17%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -9.36%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-14 14:30
1xBet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -2.49%E -1.09%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.27%EV -8.87%E -3.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.69%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-14 14:29
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:30
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:29
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 41.91%EV -4.20%E -1.88%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.06%EV -5.20%E -1.83%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-14 14:29
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-14 14:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -12.54%E -4.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.77%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.28%EV -12.54%E -4.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-14 14:31
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 42.25%EV -14.47%E -7.23%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.21%EV -19.89%E -8.29%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.54%EV -10.56%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-14 14:31
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:30
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.76%EV -5.91%E -2.69%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -8.20%E -2.98%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-14 14:29
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.06%EV -8.05%E -3.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-14 14:30
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.64%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-14 14:29
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.69%EV -12.33%E -6.01%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.21%E -5.08%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.65%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-14 14:30
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.58%EV -11.47%E -5.54%K -10.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.26%EV -11.54%E -4.35%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.15%EV -12.94%E -3.55%K -4.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-14 14:31
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.35%EV -10.19%E -4.85%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.94%EV -9.87%E -3.66%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.13%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-14 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.10%EV -14.47%E -7.23%K -14.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.38%EV -13.21%E -5.08%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.52%EV -21.29%E -6.45%K -9.26%G +0.000%18.8%2026-05-14 14:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-05-14 14:31
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.99%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-05-14 14:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-14 14:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-14 14:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.30%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.84%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.87%2.2%2026-05-14 14:31