Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen v FC Zurich

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen (Local)

Prediction 64.26%1.56fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.53%
Kelly -4.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.91%64.15%64.30%65.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.451.451.5273.53%68.99%68.97%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zurich (Visit)

Prediction 16.30%6.14fair odd
EV +1.87%
Edge +0.300%
Kelly +0.357%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 6.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.24%16.40%16.30%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.485.406.2521.05%18.24%18.52%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.44%5.14fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.556%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.63%19.44%19.40%21.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.594.505.0025.00%21.78%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St Gallen (Local): 64.26%; FC Zurich (Visit): 16.30%; Draw: 19.44%. For FC Zurich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +1.87%E +0.300%K +0.357%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36%EV -2.97%E -1.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36%EV -2.97%E -1.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 14:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.67%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.64%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:45
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.67%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.89%EV -2.97%E -1.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.38%EV -3.99%E -0.678%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.73%EV -4.92%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 14:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.46%E -0.941%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.72%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 07:20
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.33%EV -2.33%E -1.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.93%EV -6.08%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:24
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.67%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 04:10
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.64%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:05
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 14:05
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -16.39%E -3.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 14:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 13:44
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:24
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:23
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.81%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:55
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
betPARX🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -10.68%E -7.69%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:05
LeoVegas🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 07:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -6.19%E -4.24%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 07:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 07:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -4.72%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 07:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 63.78%EV -11.97%E -8.74%K -32.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.42%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 62.03%EV -12.61%E -9.27%K -35.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.87%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -22.22%E -5.56%K -7.41%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-06 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.13%E -4.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 07:20
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.27%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -22.58%E -4.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-05 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-04-06 14:25