La escuela de los momios

FC St Gallen v FC Zurich

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC St Gallen (Local)

Predicción 64.26%1.56momio equitativo
EV -2.33%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -4.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.91%64.15%64.30%65.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5273.53%68.99%68.97%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Zurich (Visitante)

Predicción 16.30%6.14momio equitativo
EV +1.87%
Ventaja +0.300%
Kelly +0.357%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.24%16.40%16.30%18.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.755.485.406.2521.05%18.24%18.52%16.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.44%5.14momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -0.556%
Kelly -0.695%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.63%19.44%19.40%21.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.594.505.0025.00%21.78%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.70%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV +1.87%E +0.300%K +0.357%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:44
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36%EV -2.97%E -1.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 14:05
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.36%EV -2.97%E -1.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 14:05
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -2.78%E -0.556%K -0.695%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:43
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -6.67%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:45
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.64%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -2.20%E -0.367%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -6.67%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:20
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.89%EV -2.97%E -1.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 16.38%EV -3.99%E -0.678%K -0.817%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.73%EV -4.92%E -1.01%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-06 14:15
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.80%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.46%E -0.941%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -4.72%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 07:20
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 63.33%EV -2.33%E -1.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.74%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.93%EV -6.08%E -1.26%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -6.28%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 14:24
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -3.62%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -6.67%E -1.39%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 04:10
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -7.64%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 14:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 14:05
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -16.39%E -3.81%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 14:05
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -8.76%E -6.17%K -20.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 13:44
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.15%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.33%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.52%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-05 14:24
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 14:23
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.38%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.13%EV -10.35%E -1.88%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.49%EV -15.81%E -3.65%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:55
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Grosvenor1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Unibet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
ATG (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Svenska Spel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 62.38%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.52%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 07:25
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.12%EV -10.68%E -7.69%K -27.40%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -11.98%E -2.22%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 14:05
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 07:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 07:25
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 62.22%EV -6.19%E -4.24%K -13.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.64%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 07:25
PMU (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -13.61%E -2.57%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-06 07:55
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -4.72%E -0.964%K -1.21%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 07:20
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.78%EV -11.97%E -8.74%K -32.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -15.24%E -2.93%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.42%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 04:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -14.44%E -3.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 04:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.03%EV -12.61%E -9.27%K -35.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.87%EV -18.50%E -3.70%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.09%EV -22.22%E -5.56%K -7.41%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-06 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.89%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.97%EV -20.13%E -4.11%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -10.56%E -2.29%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 07:20
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.27%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -22.58%E -4.75%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -12.50%E -2.78%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-05 14:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 65.97%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%1.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 65.73%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.94%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.33%1.4%2026-04-06 14:25
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 64.60%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.77%3.2%2026-04-06 14:25