Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen v FC Winterthur

Kickoff: 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen (Local)

Prediction 76.55%1.31fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -3.45%
Kelly -17.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.39%76.39%76.51%77.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.20%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Winterthur (Visit)

Prediction 9.20%10.87fair odd
EV +10.42%
Edge +0.868%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.93%9.24%9.24%10.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.619.5012.0012.50%10.40%10.53%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.25%7.02fair odd
EV -0.232%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.039%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.48%14.36%14.24%17.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.006.156.007.0020.00%16.26%16.67%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC St Gallen (Local): 76.55%; FC Winterthur (Visit): 9.20%; Draw: 14.25%. For FC Winterthur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.87. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.42%E +0.868%K +0.947%G +0.099%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.79%E -0.562%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.77%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV +3.52%E +0.313%K +0.343%G +0.012%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.51%E -0.673%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.08%E -0.453%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 16:55
1xBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.48%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -4.51%E -0.673%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -3.08%E -0.453%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 16:25
Bet Right🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.81I 9.25%NM 8.86%EV -0.533%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.87%EV -1.51%E -0.219%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV -0.232%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV -0.232%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 16:15
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.04%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.53%EV -7.50%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.85%E -4.75%K -25.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:25
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:55
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:25
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:26
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.91%E -7.49%K -46.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 16:55
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.44%E -8.92%K -61.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -10.44%E -8.92%K -61.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.74%E -5.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -10.29%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 16:54
Betsson🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.21%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.14%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.61%EV -11.67%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:55
NordicBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 76.21%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.14%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.61%EV -11.67%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.92%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:35
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.92%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:35
BetAnything🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.92%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:35
Everygame🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.05%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 16:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 75.83%EV -15.03%E -13.54%K -136.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.86%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.30%EV -21.61%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.18%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.34%EV -8.91%E -7.49%K -46.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -13.06%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -10.44%E -8.92%K -61.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 75.60%EV -11.97%E -10.41%K -79.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.66%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -15.91%E -2.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 16:35
LeoVegas🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -18.05%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -3.79%E -0.562%K -0.660%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.40%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -26.39%E -3.30%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:26
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:15
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.96%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%2.6%2026-02-28 16:55