La escuela de los momios

FC St Gallen v FC Winterthur

Inicio: 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC St Gallen (Local)

Predicción 76.55%1.31momio equitativo
EV -4.32%
Ventaja -3.45%
Kelly -17.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.39%76.39%76.51%77.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.111.221.221.2590.09%82.20%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Winterthur (Visitante)

Predicción 9.20%10.87momio equitativo
EV +10.42%
Ventaja +0.868%
Kelly +0.947%
Crecimiento +0.099%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.93%9.24%9.24%10.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.619.5012.0012.50%10.40%10.53%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.25%7.02momio equitativo
EV -0.232%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.039%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.48%14.36%14.24%17.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.156.007.0020.00%16.26%16.67%14.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +10.42%E +0.868%K +0.947%G +0.099%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -3.79%E -0.562%K -0.660%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.77%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.30%EV +3.52%E +0.313%K +0.343%G +0.012%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.51%E -0.673%K -0.791%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.50%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.60%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.90%EV -3.08%E -0.453%K -0.531%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 16:55
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.48%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.99%EV -4.51%E -0.673%K -0.791%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.79%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.73%EV -3.08%E -0.453%K -0.531%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 16:25
Bet Right1.20I 83.33%NM 76.39%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.33%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 16:55
SportsBet1.18I 84.75%NM 76.69%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.23%EV +1.22%E +0.110%K +0.122%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Pinnacle1.24I 80.65%NM 77.27%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.81I 9.25%NM 8.86%EV -0.533%E -0.049%K -0.054%G +0.000%6.91I 14.47%NM 13.87%EV -1.51%E -0.219%K -0.256%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-28 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV -0.232%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:55
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.12%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.68%EV -0.232%E -0.033%K -0.039%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.09%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.70%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 16:15
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.28%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -3.39%E -0.322%K -0.356%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 16:54
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.06%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 16:15
GTbets1.24I 80.65%NM 76.04%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.43%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.49I 15.41%NM 14.53%EV -7.50%E -1.16%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.21%EV -5.85%E -4.75%K -25.43%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.37%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.42%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-28 16:25
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 16:55
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:25
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:25
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:25
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 16:26
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 16:35
Betr (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.91%EV -8.91%E -7.49%K -46.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.03%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.06%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-28 16:55
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -10.44%E -8.92%K -61.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-28 16:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 74.02%EV -10.44%E -8.92%K -61.42%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -7.99%E -0.799%K -0.887%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.32%EV -28.74%E -5.75%K -7.18%G +0.000%15.5%2026-02-28 16:55
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -10.29%E -1.06%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 16:54
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 76.21%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.14%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.61%EV -11.67%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:55
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 76.21%EV -7.38%E -6.10%K -35.14%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.61%EV -11.67%E -1.22%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.19%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.92%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:35
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.92%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:35
BetAnything1.22I 81.97%NM 75.55%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.75%EV -10.92%E -1.75%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 16:35
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.91%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.63%EV -18.05%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.3%2026-02-28 16:55
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 75.83%EV -15.03%E -13.54%K -136.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 8.86%EV -12.59%E -1.32%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.30%EV -21.61%E -3.93%K -4.80%G +0.000%18.8%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
BetRivers1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.83%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 16:35
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.18%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.99%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.83%EV -7.36%E -1.13%K -1.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-28 16:55
Betclic (FR)1.19I 84.03%NM 75.34%EV -8.91%E -7.49%K -46.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.96%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.70%EV -13.06%E -2.14%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-28 16:55
Parions Sport (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.47%EV -10.44%E -8.92%K -61.42%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.81%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.72%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 16:55
NetBet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 75.60%EV -11.97%E -10.41%K -79.81%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.66%EV -17.19%E -1.91%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -15.91%E -2.70%K -3.25%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-28 16:35
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.39%EV -4.32%E -3.45%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.79%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -17.33%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 16:15
LiveScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 73.45%EV -5.08%E -4.10%K -21.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.71%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.84%EV -18.05%E -3.14%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-28 16:35
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 75.82%EV -8.14%E -6.79%K -40.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.48%EV -3.79%E -0.562%K -0.660%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.25%EV -6.61%E -5.42%K -30.06%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -21.79%E -2.56%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 74.40%EV -9.68%E -8.20%K -53.75%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.97%EV -26.39%E -3.30%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.63%EV -14.48%E -2.41%K -2.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-28 16:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:26
Matchbook1.27I 78.74%NM 77.94%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.92%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.14%1.0%2026-02-28 16:15
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.96%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.12%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%2.6%2026-02-28 16:55