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FC St Gallen v FC Thun

2026-08-30 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC St Gallen (Local)

Prediction 57.17%1.75fair odd
EV -5.67%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -8.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.22%57.06%56.92%58.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6565.36%62.44%62.11%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Thun (Visit)

Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV +0.816%
Edge +0.173%
Kelly +0.219%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.06%21.34%21.50%22.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.214.204.7326.67%23.76%23.81%21.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.51%4.65fair odd
EV +2.19%
Edge +0.461%
Kelly +0.583%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.12%21.59%21.59%23.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.734.274.254.7526.81%23.40%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: FC St Gallen (Local): 57.17%; FC Thun (Visit): 21.31%; Draw: 21.51%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.65. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.75, producing a positive expected value of +2.19%.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.64%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -4.09%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV +2.19%E +0.461%K +0.583%G +0.013%4.6%2026-08-23 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -4.09%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -3.19%E -0.709%K -0.912%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -9.10%E -5.72%K -15.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -4.09%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -3.19%E -0.709%K -0.912%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:13
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.41%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -5.34%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -6.22%E -1.41%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -5.34%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 16:14
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -14.74%E -3.69%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -5.34%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.74%E -3.69%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.34%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.74%E -3.69%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.34%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.95%E -4.94%K -13.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -14.74%E -3.69%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -5.34%E -1.21%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -10.48%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -10.24%E -6.52%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -7.71%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -6.85%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.88%EV -6.81%E -4.18%K -10.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -8.35%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -7.49%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 16:24
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.13%EV -6.24%E -3.80%K -9.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -4.09%E -0.908%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -8.57%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -3.02%E -0.664%K -0.851%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -8.57%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -9.41%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -8.57%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:24
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.60%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.48%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.57%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.60%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -10.48%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -8.57%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.51%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.06%EV +0.816%E +0.173%K +0.219%G +0.002%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.43%EV -9.00%E -2.13%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.76%EV -8.52%E -5.33%K -14.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -10.48%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -9.64%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.45%EV -10.81%E -6.93%K -19.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.58%EV -16.87%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.97%EV -9.64%E -2.30%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.67%E -3.43%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -8.35%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -11.80%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 15:48
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.15%EV -11.95%E -7.76%K -22.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -19.01%E -5.00%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.09%EV -11.80%E -2.88%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-23 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -12.53%E -8.19%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -20.07%E -5.35%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -13.95%E -3.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-23 16:04
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.03%EV -12.53%E -8.19%K -23.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -16.87%E -4.33%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -16.10%E -4.13%K -5.55%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-23 16:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.22%EV -7.38%E -4.56%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%EV -15.81%E -4.00%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.55%EV -19.76%E -5.30%K -7.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-23 16:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 55.87%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.06%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.06%16.2%2026-08-23 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 15:45