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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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FC St Gallen v FC Thun

2026-08-30 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Testa a testa

25 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

FC St Gallen (Casa)

Previsione 57.45%1.74quota equa
EV -5.20%
Vantaggio -3.15%
Kelly -8.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.85%57.41%57.49%58.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.601.601.6565.36%62.63%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

FC Thun (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.68%4.84quota equa
EV -2.18%
Vantaggio -0.461%
Kelly -0.585%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.06%20.84%20.51%22.84%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.294.334.7326.67%23.32%23.09%21.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.87%4.57quota equa
EV +3.86%
Vantaggio +0.813%
Kelly +1.03%
Crescita +0.040%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.12%21.75%22.00%22.95%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.244.254.7525.64%23.61%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: FC St Gallen (Casa): 57.45%; FC Thun (Trasferta): 20.68%; Pareggio: 21.87%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.57. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.75, con un valore atteso positivo del +3.86%.

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.64%EV -6.35%E -3.90%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.24%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.12%EV +3.86%E +0.813%K +1.03%G +0.040%4.6%2026-08-23 16:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.458%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 15:29
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -8.65%E -5.44%K -14.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -1.60%E -0.356%K -0.458%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 16:13
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.11%E -2.85%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.01%E -2.05%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 16:14
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.40%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -7.50%E -4.66%K -12.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -3.79%E -0.861%K -1.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 16:14
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.13%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -9.80%E -6.24%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -5.32%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-23 16:14
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.13%EV -5.78%E -3.52%K -9.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 16:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.56%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -5.91%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.07%E -1.66%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-23 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.51%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.06%EV -2.18%E -0.461%K -0.585%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.43%EV -7.51%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 16:29
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.13%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.11%EV -10.45%E -2.41%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.76%EV -8.16%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:19
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.99%EV -5.20%E -3.15%K -8.00%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -11.08%E -2.58%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.53%EV -10.35%E -2.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 15:48
Codere (IT)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.98%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -10.35%E -2.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-23 19:20
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:20
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -8.07%E -5.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.57%EV -11.44%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.50%EV -10.95%E -7.06%K -19.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.49%EV -10.04%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.01%EV -11.44%E -2.83%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 19:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -6.92%E -4.27%K -11.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -6.94%E -1.54%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -12.54%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -10.37%E -6.65%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -15.21%E -3.71%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.03%EV -12.54%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 19:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.85%EV -12.10%E -7.91%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%EV -22.45%E -5.99%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.36%EV -12.54%E -3.13%K -4.18%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-23 16:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.18%EV -11.52%E -7.48%K -21.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.63%EV -17.28%E -4.32%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.19%EV -14.72%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%15.6%2026-08-23 19:20
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.03%EV -12.10%E -7.91%K -22.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -19.35%E -4.96%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.98%EV -14.72%E -3.78%K -5.08%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-23 16:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 55.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.44%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.87%16.6%2026-08-23 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.33%188.5%2026-08-23 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-23 15:45