The School of Odds

FC Sion v FC Luzern

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Prediction 53.15%1.88fair odd
EV -5.93%
Edge -3.35%
Kelly -7.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.75%53.24%53.16%54.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.621.731.751.7761.73%57.95%57.31%56.50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

FC Luzern (Visit)

Prediction 23.06%4.34fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -0.749%
Kelly -0.983%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.48%23.04%23.07%24.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.453.954.004.2028.99%25.29%25.00%23.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 23.79%4.20fair odd
EV -0.083%
Edge -0.020%
Kelly -0.026%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.73%23.72%23.77%24.76%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.854.2028.57%25.94%25.97%23.81%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.80%EV -4.07%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -4.36%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 19:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.54%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.54%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 18:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:35
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.14%E -0.749%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.083%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:29
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 18:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 18:26
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:15
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 18:41
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.46%E -0.600%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:25
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 18:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:23
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 18:35
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:35
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.16%EV -10.71%E -6.37%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -10.52%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.06%EV -10.71%E -6.37%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -16.98%E -4.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 18:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 18:25
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.98%E -4.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 18:25
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.75%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.30%EV -20.44%E -5.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-26 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%13.3%2026-07-26 18:26