L’École des cotes

FC Sion v FC Luzern

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Sion (Local)

Prévision 53.15%1.88cote équitable
EV -5.93%
Avantage -3.35%
Kelly -7.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.77

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.75%53.24%53.16%54.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.751.7761.73%57.95%57.31%56.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Luzern (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.06%4.34cote équitable
EV -3.14%
Avantage -0.749%
Kelly -0.983%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%23.04%23.07%24.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.954.004.2028.99%25.29%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.79%4.20cote équitable
EV -0.083%
Avantage -0.020%
Kelly -0.026%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.73%23.72%23.77%24.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.863.854.2028.57%25.94%25.97%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 53.60%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.80%EV -4.07%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -4.36%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-26 19:15
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.93%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.54%EV -8.22%E -2.06%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.54%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 18:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.93%E -3.35%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:35
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -6.46%E -3.67%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-26 18:30
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.14%E -0.749%K -0.983%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -0.083%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -5.32%E -1.34%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 18:29
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 18:25
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -8.91%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-26 18:25
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -10.06%E -2.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 18:26
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:15
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:15
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.99%E -3.99%K -9.32%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 19:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -7.52%E -4.32%K -10.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-26 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -8.05%E -4.65%K -11.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 18:41
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.46%E -0.600%K -0.794%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 18:25
LeoVegas1.72I 58.14%NM 52.81%EV -8.58%E -4.99%K -11.92%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -11.22%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -8.41%E -2.18%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-26 18:30
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.21%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -5.45%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.18%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 18:23
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.59%EV -9.11%E -5.33%K -12.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.22%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-26 18:35
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:35
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.65%E -5.67%K -13.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -4.84%E -1.21%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.16%EV -10.71%E -6.37%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.02%EV -10.52%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.79%E -2.88%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-26 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.06%EV -10.71%E -6.37%K -15.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -16.98%E -4.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.64%EV -11.98%E -3.24%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-26 18:25
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.76%E -1.94%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -9.60%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 18:25
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -11.24%E -6.73%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -16.98%E -4.72%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.06%EV -14.36%E -3.99%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-07-26 18:25
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.75%EV -13.90%E -8.58%K -22.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.30%EV -20.44%E -5.92%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.95%EV -16.74%E -4.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%19.3%2026-07-26 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%13.3%2026-07-26 18:26