A Escola das Odds

FC Luzern v FC St Gallen

Início: 2026-04-12 14:32 UTC

Final: FC Luzern 2–2 FC St Gallen

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Previsão 46.61%2.15odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.25%46.55%46.60%47.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.861.992.002.0853.76%50.36%50.13%48.08%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Previsão 29.54%3.39odd justa
EV -1.06%
Vantagem -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.89%29.56%29.56%31.20%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.053.003.3535.71%32.80%33.33%29.85%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 23.85%4.19odd justa
EV +0.172%
Vantagem +0.041%
Kelly +0.054%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.81%23.89%23.84%26.11%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.793.774.2030.77%26.35%26.49%23.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -3.12%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV +0.172%E +0.041%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 14:29
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.21%E -0.540%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 14:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:29
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.24%E -3.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:29
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:29
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.88%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -1.06%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:27
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:28
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:29
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.30%E -6.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.41%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:28
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.35%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -14.35%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.74%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.08%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -15.82%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -12.95%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.30%E -7.15%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.95%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -14.94%E -5.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -22.49%E -6.92%K -9.99%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 45.74%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%11.0%2026-04-12 14:30