La escuela de los momios

FC Luzern v FC St Gallen

Inicio: 2026-04-12 14:32 UTC

Final: FC Luzern 2–2 FC St Gallen

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Luzern (Local)

Predicción 46.61%2.15momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.25%46.55%46.60%47.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.861.992.002.0853.76%50.36%50.13%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC St Gallen (Visitante)

Predicción 29.54%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.89%29.56%29.56%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.053.003.3535.71%32.80%33.33%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.85%4.19momio equitativo
EV +0.172%
Ventaja +0.041%
Kelly +0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.81%23.89%23.84%26.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.793.774.2030.77%26.35%26.49%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -3.12%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV +0.172%E +0.041%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 14:29
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.21%E -0.540%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 14:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:29
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.24%E -3.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:29
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:29
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.88%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -1.06%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:27
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:28
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:29
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.30%E -6.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.41%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:28
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.35%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -14.35%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.74%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.08%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -15.82%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -12.95%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.30%E -7.15%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.95%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -14.94%E -5.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -22.49%E -6.92%K -9.99%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 45.74%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%11.0%2026-04-12 14:30