مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Luzern v FC St Gallen

البداية: 2026-04-12 14:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Luzern 2–2 FC St Gallen

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Luzern (المضيف)

التنبؤ 46.61%2.15السعر العادل
EV -3.04%
الأفضلية -1.46%
Kelly -2.82%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.08

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.25%46.55%46.60%47.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.861.992.002.0853.76%50.36%50.13%48.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC St Gallen (الضيف)

التنبؤ 29.54%3.39السعر العادل
EV -1.06%
الأفضلية -0.315%
Kelly -0.449%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.89%29.56%29.56%31.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.053.003.3535.71%32.80%33.33%29.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.85%4.19السعر العادل
EV +0.172%
الأفضلية +0.041%
Kelly +0.054%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.81%23.89%23.84%26.11%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.793.774.2030.77%26.35%26.49%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.03I 49.26%NM 47.57%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.44%EV -3.12%E -0.952%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.99%EV +0.172%E +0.041%K +0.054%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-12 14:29
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -2.21%E -0.540%K -0.714%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 46.90%EV -5.37%E -2.65%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.30%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 14:29
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:29
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.44%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.60%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:30
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 46.97%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.01%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.84%EV -5.07%E -1.28%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Codere (IT)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.21%EV -4.91%E -2.41%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.93%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-12 14:30
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
BetAnything1.95I 51.28%NM 47.20%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.50%EV -7.85%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -5.79%E -1.47%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 14:29
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.98%E -1.79%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:30
Marathon Bet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -7.24%E -3.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.92%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:29
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.20%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:29
LowVig.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
BetOnline.ag1.97I 50.76%NM 46.57%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-12 14:29
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.37%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.14%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -8.18%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -4.44%E -2.17%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.30%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 14:29
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 14:29
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 47.55%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.96%E -2.21%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.77%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 46.88%EV -11.43%E -6.02%K -12.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.69%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.44%EV -9.37%E -2.47%K -3.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:29
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.19%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -1.06%E -0.315%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:27
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
TABtouch2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -3.04%E -1.46%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 14:30
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -5.49%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 14:28
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -5.84%E -2.89%K -5.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.31%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-12 14:29
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 46.16%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.30%E -6.18%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.02%EV -10.56%E -2.82%K -3.84%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-12 14:29
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.41%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.89%EV -11.04%E -2.96%K -4.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:28
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -14.35%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-12 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 45.21%EV -8.17%E -4.15%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.71%EV -14.35%E -4.95%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.07%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.74%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -12.87%E -4.36%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.62%EV -11.75%E -3.18%K -4.35%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 14:30
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.08%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -15.82%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.08%EV -12.95%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 14:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.18%EV -13.30%E -7.15%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.77%EV -9.92%E -3.25%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -12.95%E -3.55%K -4.89%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 14:30
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -8.44%E -2.72%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 14:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -6.77%E -3.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 14:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:29
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.14%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.38%EV -11.39%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.48%EV -14.14%E -3.93%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.43%EV -10.97%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.46%EV -14.94%E -5.19%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.11%EV -22.49%E -6.92%K -9.99%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 14:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.57%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.92%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.40%1.7%2026-04-12 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.62%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%2.3%2026-04-12 14:30
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 45.74%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.24%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%11.0%2026-04-12 14:30