L’École des cotes

FC Lugano v FC Vaduz

2026-07-26 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Prévision 63.16%1.58cote équitable
EV -4.62%
Avantage -3.06%
Kelly -9.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.19%63.28%63.21%66.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.451.451.5173.53%68.89%68.97%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Vaduz (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.92%6.28cote équitable
EV +3.49%
Avantage +0.536%
Kelly +0.634%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.84%15.86%15.94%18.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.775.756.5020.83%17.34%17.39%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.92%4.78cote équitable
EV +0.397%
Avantage +0.083%
Kelly +0.105%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.08%20.86%20.85%22.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.404.474.8025.00%22.73%22.35%20.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +3.49%E +0.536%K +0.634%G +0.022%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -0.649%E -0.137%K -0.173%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -11.57%E -8.27%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +3.49%E +0.536%K +0.634%G +0.022%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -0.649%E -0.137%K -0.173%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 14:30
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -12.20%E -8.78%K -31.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +3.49%E +0.536%K +0.634%G +0.022%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -1.69%E -0.361%K -0.458%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 15:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -13.47%E -9.83%K -36.40%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV +3.49%E +0.536%K +0.634%G +0.022%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV +0.397%E +0.083%K +0.105%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -14.10%E -10.37%K -39.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV +3.49%E +0.536%K +0.634%G +0.022%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 14:33
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -0.495%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 19:08
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.495%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 19:49
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.78%E -5.33%K -16.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -0.495%E -0.079%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 19:04
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.05%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.07%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.41%EV -1.61%E -0.260%K -0.311%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.54%EV -7.55%E -1.71%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 14:50
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.89%E -3.95%K -12.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 14:30
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:41
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.63%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 01:03
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 15:00
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.68%E -6.77%K -22.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 14:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.34%E -4.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 21:08
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.34%E -4.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 21:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.34%E -4.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 21:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.34%E -4.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 13:25
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -14.10%E -10.37%K -39.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.47%E -0.746%K -0.895%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 14:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -7.78%E -5.33%K -16.92%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 22:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.11%E -2.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 20:15
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.11%E -2.61%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 20:20
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:09
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:09
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:14
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:15
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 14:35
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.31%E -7.26%K -24.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.46%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.68%E -6.77%K -22.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -10.84%E -1.94%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 22:10
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -4.62%E -3.06%K -9.07%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%EV -11.48%E -2.06%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.38%EV -2.95%E -0.636%K -0.810%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.79%E -0.823%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 14:49
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -5.26%E -3.50%K -10.51%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.06%E -2.34%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 23:40
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -4.83%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:50
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -4.83%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:50
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -7.15%E -4.86%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -12.44%E -2.26%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -16.34%E -4.08%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 14:45
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.72%EV -8.41%E -5.80%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.44%EV -6.92%E -1.56%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 14:54
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.74%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -7.97%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 14:30
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.13%EV -12.83%E -9.30%K -33.78%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.13%EV -14.03%E -2.60%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.74%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-25 09:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.52%E -4.40%K -13.58%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.42%E -3.13%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.05%E -6.28%K -20.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -5.88%E -1.31%K -1.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 14:49
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.57%E -8.27%K -28.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.40%E -4.08%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -9.43%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.37%EV -10.94%E -7.76%K -26.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.03%EV -23.58%E -4.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -12.15%E -2.89%K -3.80%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-24 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-07-26 00:55
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-07-26 00:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-07-26 00:55
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.80%4.5%2026-07-25 19:10