La escuela de los momios

FC Lugano v FC Vaduz

2026-07-26 14:30 UTC — Swiss Superleague

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Predicción 63.25%1.58momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -2.54%
Kelly -7.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.19%63.36%63.23%66.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.361.451.451.5273.53%68.89%68.97%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Vaduz (Visitante)

Predicción 15.88%6.30momio equitativo
EV +3.19%
Ventaja +0.490%
Kelly +0.580%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.84%15.82%15.85%18.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.775.756.5020.83%17.33%17.39%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.88%4.79momio equitativo
EV +0.210%
Ventaja +0.044%
Kelly +0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.08%20.82%20.91%22.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.404.504.8025.00%22.71%22.22%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.43%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV +3.19%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97%EV -0.834%E -0.176%K -0.222%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-22 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -11.45%E -8.18%K -28.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +3.19%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -0.834%E -0.176%K -0.222%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-16 14:30
SportsBet1.39I 71.94%NM 66.24%EV -12.09%E -8.69%K -30.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV +3.19%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.59%EV -1.88%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-10 15:00
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 66.84%EV -13.35%E -9.74%K -36.08%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV +3.19%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV +0.210%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:30
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -13.98%E -10.28%K -38.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV +3.19%E +0.490%K +0.580%G +0.018%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 14:33
1xBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -0.781%E -0.125%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-17 19:08
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.34%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.93%EV -0.781%E -0.125%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-22 19:49
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.88%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -0.781%E -0.125%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-17 19:04
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.09%EV -3.86%E -2.54%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.24I 16.03%NM 15.37%EV -0.939%E -0.151%K -0.179%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.55%EV -7.10%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 02:40
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 63.31%EV -5.76%E -3.87%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 14:30
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:40
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:41
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -10.23%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 16:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.51%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.90%EV -1.88%E -0.400%K -0.507%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-26 02:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-16 15:00
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-19 14:45
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.49%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 21:08
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.49%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 21:09
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.49%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-15 21:09
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -16.49%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-14 13:25
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 64.90%EV -13.98%E -10.28%K -38.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.71%EV -4.75%E -0.792%K -0.950%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.39%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-23 14:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 23:35
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 21:50
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 63.36%EV -7.66%E -5.25%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.56%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-23 22:10
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -11.27%E -2.65%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 20:20
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:09
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:09
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:10
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.52%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.02%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-23 22:09
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.12%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.99%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 02:39
betano_uk1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:14
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 20:15
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 14:35
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.71%EV -10.19%E -7.17%K -24.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -8.72%E -1.52%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.14%E -1.85%K -2.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.07%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -11.10%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.38%EV -5.01%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 02:34
LiveScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -11.10%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -11.10%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 22:10
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.57%EV -9.56%E -6.68%K -22.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.23%EV -11.10%E -1.98%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-23 22:10
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -4.50%E -2.98%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.01%EV -11.73%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.38%EV -3.13%E -0.675%K -0.860%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -12.69%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -3.97%E -0.862%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 14:49
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 61.67%EV -5.13%E -3.42%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -12.69%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -10.23%E -2.38%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 23:40
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.69%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -5.01%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:50
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -12.69%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.31%EV -5.01%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-24 14:50
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 62.74%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -12.69%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 09:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 61.50%EV -8.29%E -5.72%K -18.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -12.69%E -2.31%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.29%EV -16.49%E -4.12%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 14:45
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.88%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.35%EV -7.10%E -1.59%K -2.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-26 02:35
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 63.30%EV -13.35%E -9.74%K -36.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.06%EV -14.27%E -2.64%K -3.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.65%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.3%2026-07-26 02:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.66%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:35
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.66%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:35
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.66%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -6.39%E -4.32%K -13.32%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -16.66%E -3.17%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 23:30
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -8.92%E -6.20%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -20.62%E -4.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -6.05%E -1.35%K -1.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-24 14:49
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.37%EV -11.45%E -8.18%K -28.63%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.46%EV -20.62%E -4.12%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.17%EV -9.60%E -2.22%K -2.88%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-22 13:44
Winamax (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 61.37%EV -10.82%E -7.67%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.03%EV -23.80%E -4.96%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.60%EV -12.32%E -2.93%K -3.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-24 14:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-07-26 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-07-26 02:35
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 64.79%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.39%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.82%2.2%2026-07-26 02:35
Smarkets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-07-25 23:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 64.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.17%2.7%2026-07-26 00:55