A Escola das Odds

FC Lugano v BSC Young Boys

Início: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

Final: FC Lugano 1–0 BSC Young Boys

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

FC Lugano (Local)

Previsão 44.90%2.23odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -1.83%
Kelly -3.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.14

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.39%44.81%44.90%46.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.062.052.1452.36%48.46%48.78%46.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

BSC Young Boys (Visitante)

Previsão 30.12%3.32odd justa
EV -1.50%
Vantagem -0.459%
Kelly -0.662%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.22%30.17%30.11%31.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.803.013.003.2735.71%33.18%33.33%30.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.98%4.00odd justa
EV -0.091%
Vantagem -0.023%
Kelly -0.030%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.58%25.02%24.99%26.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.653.704.0031.25%27.38%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.59%EV -1.50%E -0.459%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 14:20
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.48%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.21%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.84%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:21
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:15
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.65%EV -6.16%E -2.95%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.42%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -9.08%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.091%E -0.023%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 13:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 13:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:10
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:21
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.30%E -4.60%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:25
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.30%E -4.60%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:21
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -9.30%E -4.60%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:20
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.71%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -10.58%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 14:15
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -11.10%E -5.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -14.15%E -4.97%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -11.99%E -6.12%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:21
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.44%E -6.38%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.66%E -5.59%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.36%EV -13.34%E -6.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.98%EV -12.04%E -4.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.24%E -7.45%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -20.07%E -6.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-03 13:22
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-05-03 14:20