مدرسة الاحتمالات

FC Lugano v BSC Young Boys

البداية: 2026-05-03 14:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: FC Lugano 1–0 BSC Young Boys

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

58 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

FC Lugano (المضيف)

التنبؤ 44.90%2.23السعر العادل
EV -3.91%
الأفضلية -1.83%
Kelly -3.43%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.14

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
43.39%44.81%44.90%46.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.912.062.052.1452.36%48.46%48.78%46.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

BSC Young Boys (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.12%3.32السعر العادل
EV -1.50%
الأفضلية -0.459%
Kelly -0.662%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.27

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.22%30.17%30.11%31.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.013.003.2735.71%33.18%33.33%30.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.98%4.00السعر العادل
EV -0.091%
الأفضلية -0.023%
Kelly -0.030%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.58%25.02%24.99%26.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.653.704.0031.25%27.38%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (58 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.59%EV -1.50%E -0.459%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -4.09%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-03 14:20
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.30%EV -3.91%E -1.83%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.48%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.21%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -4.81%E -2.27%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -12.65%E -4.36%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.14%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.84%E -0.997%K -1.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 13:20
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:20
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 14:21
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.47%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 14:15
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 13:19
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-03 14:15
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:40
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -5.71%E -2.72%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.64%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.97%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 10:40
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.65%EV -6.16%E -2.95%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.72%EV -5.42%E -1.73%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -9.08%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 14:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:15
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.19%EV -6.61%E -3.18%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.18%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 14:15
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -0.091%E -0.023%K -0.030%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 14:25
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.44%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.51%EV -5.09%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-03 13:20
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 13:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 13:20
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.34%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:15
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:10
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:21
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 14:20
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 13:20
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.13%E -2.67%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-03 14:15
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -7.95%E -3.88%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 13:20
Bovada2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.30%E -4.60%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:25
BetUS2.02I 49.50%NM 45.56%EV -9.30%E -4.60%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.22%EV -5.12%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -8.83%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-03 14:21
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -9.30%E -4.60%K -9.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 14:20
1xBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.59%E -0.664%K -0.893%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-03 14:25
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:25
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.62%E -2.14%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -7.58%E -2.05%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-03 14:20
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-03 13:20
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.71%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.98%EV -10.58%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-03 14:15
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -10.20%E -5.10%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.55%EV -11.10%E -5.60%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -14.15%E -4.97%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-03 14:15
Unibet (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 45.50%EV -11.99%E -6.12%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -10.08%E -2.80%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-03 14:21
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.37%EV -12.44%E -6.38%K -13.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -15.66%E -5.59%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.72%EV -12.58%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-03 14:05
NetBet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.36%EV -13.34%E -6.91%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.98%EV -12.04%E -4.12%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.33%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -14.24%E -7.45%K -15.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -13.25%E -4.60%K -7.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -20.07%E -6.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-03 13:22
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-05-03 14:20
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.43%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.84%1.9%2026-05-03 14:20