Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lausanne-Sport v Grasshopper Zürich

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Lausanne-Sport 1–3 Grasshopper Zürich

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Prediction 76.47%1.31fair odd
EV -4.41%
Edge -3.53%
Kelly -17.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.28%76.45%76.57%78.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.221.221.2587.72%82.27%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grasshopper Zürich (Visit)

Prediction 9.48%10.55fair odd
EV +13.75%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.172%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.81%9.42%9.49%11.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.539.5012.0012.50%10.50%10.53%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.05%7.12fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +0.718%
Kelly +0.829%
Growth +0.045%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.53%14.13%13.94%16.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.286.107.5018.18%15.92%16.39%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Lausanne-Sport (Local): 76.47%; Grasshopper Zürich (Visit): 9.48%; Draw: 14.05%. For Grasshopper Zürich (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.55. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -9.00%E -7.56%K -47.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +13.75%E +1.15%K +1.25%G +0.172%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:35
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +4.27%E +0.389%K +0.427%G +0.018%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.38%EV -3.04%E -0.441%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +4.27%E +0.389%K +0.427%G +0.018%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.38%EV -3.04%E -0.441%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.75%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV +1.90%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -7.26%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 15:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.09%EV -7.47%E -6.18%K -35.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.466%E -0.044%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -6.56%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:55
GTbets🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.00%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.33I 9.68%NM 9.05%EV -2.08%E -0.201%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 15:55
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:25
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:55
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:45
Fanatics🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -22.72%E -4.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:40
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.25%EV -11.30%E -9.74%K -70.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 77.09%EV -11.30%E -9.74%K -70.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -10.07%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -22.72%E -4.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 15:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.05%EV -12.83%E -11.25%K -91.61%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.01%EV -7.58%E -0.777%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.94%EV -11.48%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.84%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -9.00%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:55
BetUS🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.84%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -9.00%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:54
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:55
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:54
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:55
1xBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.01%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.46I 10.57%NM 9.91%EV -10.32%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.07%EV -12.60%E -2.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 15:55
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.33%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -12.32%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.59%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.82%EV -12.79%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.59%EV -6.56%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.03%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +5.39%E +0.718%K +0.829%G +0.045%6.4%2026-05-16 15:55
BetRivers🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:40
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:53
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -18.50%E -3.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -18.50%E -3.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 15:25
Everygame🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.57%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -5.15%E -0.763%K -0.896%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 75.92%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.57%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -16.58%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV -4.45%E -0.654%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:55
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.57%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -16.58%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV -4.45%E -0.654%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 75.80%EV -12.06%E -10.49%K -80.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -19.43%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.95%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 15:35
Neds🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%0.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%0.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-05-16 15:55
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-05-16 15:55
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.71%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%1.2%2026-05-16 15:55