La escuela de los momios

FC Lausanne-Sport v Grasshopper Zürich

Inicio: 2026-05-16 16:00 UTC

Final: FC Lausanne-Sport 1–3 Grasshopper Zürich

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Lausanne-Sport (Local)

Predicción 76.47%1.31momio equitativo
EV -4.41%
Ventaja -3.53%
Kelly -17.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.28%76.45%76.57%78.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.141.221.221.2587.72%82.27%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grasshopper Zürich (Visitante)

Predicción 9.48%10.55momio equitativo
EV +13.75%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.172%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.81%9.42%9.49%11.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.539.5012.0012.50%10.50%10.53%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 14.05%7.12momio equitativo
EV +5.39%
Ventaja +0.718%
Kelly +0.829%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.53%14.13%13.94%16.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.286.107.5018.18%15.92%16.39%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -9.00%E -7.56%K -47.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +13.75%E +1.15%K +1.25%G +0.172%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:35
Betsson1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +4.27%E +0.389%K +0.427%G +0.018%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.38%EV -3.04%E -0.441%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 15:35
NordicBet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.23%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.39%EV +4.27%E +0.389%K +0.427%G +0.018%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.38%EV -3.04%E -0.441%K -0.516%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.75%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%10.75I 9.30%NM 8.46%EV +1.90%E +0.177%K +0.195%G +0.004%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.78%EV -7.26%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 15:35
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.09%EV -7.47%E -6.18%K -35.58%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV -0.466%E -0.044%K -0.049%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -6.56%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 15:55
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.00%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%10.33I 9.68%NM 9.05%EV -2.08%E -0.201%K -0.223%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 15:45
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.86%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.53%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.61%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 15:55
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.91%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.60%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 15:25
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.38%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.63%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:25
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:55
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:45
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:45
Fanatics1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.21%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 15:50
FanDuel1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 15:39
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 74.41%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.08%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -22.72%E -4.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 15:55
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 77.10%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.02%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 15:40
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.25%EV -11.30%E -9.74%K -70.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.96%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.79%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-16 15:55
Unibet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 77.09%EV -11.30%E -9.74%K -70.60%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.94%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.97%EV -10.07%E -1.57%K -1.86%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -5.21%E -0.521%K -0.578%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -22.72%E -4.13%K -5.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 15:40
NetBet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 77.05%EV -12.83%E -11.25%K -91.61%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.01%EV -7.58%E -0.777%K -0.866%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 13.94%EV -11.48%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 15:55
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 76.84%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -9.00%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:55
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 76.84%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.60I 10.42%NM 9.77%EV -9.00%E -0.937%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:54
Unibet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
Casumo1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Unibet (NL)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 14:40
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:50
Svenska Spel1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:55
ATG (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:55
betPARX1.25I 80.00%NM 74.82%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.33%EV -14.29%E -2.34%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-16 15:54
betfred_uk1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:25
Bet Right1.23I 81.30%NM 74.44%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 15:25
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 77.50%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.54%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -1.64%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 15:35
BoyleSports1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -9.95%E -1.05%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:55
1xBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.01%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.46I 10.57%NM 9.91%EV -10.32%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.22I 16.08%NM 15.07%EV -12.60%E -2.03%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-16 15:55
BetMGM1.25I 80.00%NM 75.33%EV -4.41%E -3.53%K -17.65%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.18%EV -12.32%E -1.33%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 15:45
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 76.59%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 9.82%EV -12.79%E -1.39%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 13.59%EV -6.56%E -0.986%K -1.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 77.03%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.44%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV +5.39%E +0.718%K +0.829%G +0.045%6.4%2026-05-16 15:55
BetRivers1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.25%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 14:40
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 75.57%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -8.66%E -1.33%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 15:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 14:40
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -5.94%E -4.83%K -25.84%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-16 14:40
Bet Victor1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -15.69%E -2.62%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 15:53
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -18.50%E -3.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.30%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -18.50%E -3.19%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-16 14:55
Betr (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 74.20%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.06%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.74%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 15:25
Everygame1.18I 84.75%NM 76.57%EV -9.77%E -8.28%K -54.26%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.04%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -5.15%E -0.763%K -0.896%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 15:45
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 75.92%EV -10.53%E -9.00%K -61.95%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.87%EV -14.69%E -1.63%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-16 15:40
LowVig.ag1.24I 80.65%NM 75.57%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -16.58%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV -4.45%E -0.654%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:55
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 75.57%EV -5.18%E -4.18%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.65%EV -16.58%E -1.88%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.78%EV -4.45%E -0.654%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 15:55
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 75.80%EV -12.06%E -10.49%K -80.40%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -19.43%E -2.29%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 13.95%EV -12.18%E -1.95%K -2.32%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-16 15:35
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Coral1.22I 81.97%NM 73.28%EV -6.71%E -5.50%K -30.49%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -24.16%E -3.02%K -3.45%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -19.20%E -3.34%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%0.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 80.20%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.96%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%0.5%2026-05-16 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-05-16 15:55
Matchbook1.24I 80.65%NM 79.97%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.8%2026-05-16 15:55
Smarkets1.24I 80.65%NM 79.71%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.05%1.2%2026-05-16 15:55