Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel v Servette

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FC Basel (Local)

Prediction 42.72%2.34fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.57%42.76%42.68%44.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.142.122.2551.28%46.72%47.17%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Servette (Visit)

Prediction 31.64%3.16fair odd
EV -0.980%
Edge -0.313%
Kelly -0.460%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.17%31.60%31.65%32.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.923.1337.04%34.38%34.25%31.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.332%
Kelly -0.448%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.66%25.64%25.67%27.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.553.603.8532.26%28.19%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Basel (Local): 42.72%; Servette (Visit): 31.64%; Draw: 25.64%. For Servette (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.13, with an expected value of -0.980%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.56%E -0.832%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.56%E -0.832%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 15:15
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.20%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.92%EV -0.980%E -0.313%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.88%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.14%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 07:50
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV -3.19%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 07:50
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.28%E -0.332%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:19
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:15
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.62%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:47
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.62%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.44%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.34%EV -8.57%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.72%E -3.57%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:19
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:19
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:20
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:20
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 07:50
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.93%E -0.622%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 08:25
Everygame🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.49%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.64%EV -10.79%E -3.83%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.58%E -5.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 07:50
NetBet (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.70%E -6.78%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 15:20
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-15 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -20.51%E -6.62%K -9.77%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-15 15:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 43.06%EV -16.69%E -8.56%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.10%EV -14.58%E -5.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.84%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-03-15 15:25