La escuela de los momios

FC Basel v Servette

Inicio: 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Basel (Local)

Predicción 42.72%2.34momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.57%42.76%42.68%44.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.142.122.2551.28%46.72%47.17%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Servette (Visitante)

Predicción 31.64%3.16momio equitativo
EV -0.980%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.460%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.17%31.60%31.65%32.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.923.1337.04%34.38%34.25%31.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.64%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.332%
Kelly -0.448%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.66%25.64%25.67%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.553.603.8532.26%28.19%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.56%E -0.832%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 15:15
BetOnline.ag2.25I 44.44%NM 42.76%EV -3.88%E -1.72%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.24%EV -2.56%E -0.832%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 15:15
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.20%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.92%EV -0.980%E -0.313%K -0.460%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.88%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-15 15:20
Codere (IT)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.14%EV -4.30%E -1.92%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 07:50
GTbets2.23I 44.84%NM 42.74%EV -4.73%E -2.12%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.15%EV -3.19%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 07:50
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.16%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.28%E -0.332%K -0.448%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 15:19
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.54%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -3.84%E -1.02%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-15 15:15
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-15 15:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.84%E -3.45%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 15:15
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.62%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:47
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.14%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.75%EV -7.62%E -2.61%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-15 07:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 15:05
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.41%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:15
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.01%E -2.73%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 15:00
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.67%EV -6.44%E -2.94%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.34%EV -8.57%E -2.97%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.99%EV -4.10%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 15:25
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 43.15%EV -7.72%E -3.57%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.66%EV -3.83%E -1.26%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -8.71%E -2.45%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 15:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:19
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:19
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:20
BetAnything2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -8.97%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-15 15:20
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:15
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 15:14
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 07:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 15:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -8.15%E -3.79%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-15 15:15
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:25
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.34%EV -9.43%E -4.45%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.14%EV -6.67%E -2.26%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-13 08:24
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -1.93%E -0.622%K -0.918%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.12%E -1.38%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 15:20
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -7.69%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-13 08:25
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -5.09%E -1.70%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-15 15:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.26%E -2.85%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 15:20
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.89%E -3.09%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-15 15:20
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.49%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.64%EV -10.79%E -3.83%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 15:05
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.28%E -4.90%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.42%E -4.08%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.7%2026-03-15 15:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -12.42%E -6.06%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -14.58%E -5.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.25%EV -11.53%E -3.34%K -4.71%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-15 07:50
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 42.94%EV -13.70%E -6.78%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.51%EV -12.82%E -3.77%K -5.34%G +0.000%15.3%2026-03-15 15:20
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.50%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.86%EV -10.25%E -2.93%K -4.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-15 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -14.56%E -7.28%K -14.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -13.00%E -4.73%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -20.51%E -6.62%K -9.77%G +0.000%18.6%2026-03-15 15:20
PMU (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 43.06%EV -16.69%E -8.56%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.10%EV -14.58%E -5.40%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.84%EV -16.66%E -5.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%19.1%2026-03-15 15:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-03-15 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.39%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-03-15 15:25
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 43.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.60%1.5%2026-03-15 15:25
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.03%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.15%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-03-15 15:25